Fique Rico Lentamente.
A maioria dos sistemas de negociação é do tipo get-rich-quick. Eles exploram as ineficiências temporárias do mercado e buscam retornos anuais na área de 100%. Eles exigem supervisão e adaptação regulares às condições do mercado e ainda têm uma vida útil limitada. Sua expiração é frequentemente acompanhada de grandes perdas. Mas e se você mesmo assim tiver conseguido alguns ganhos consideráveis, e agora quiser estacioná-los em um porto mais seguro? Coloque o dinheiro debaixo do travesseiro? Levá-lo no banco? Dê a um hedge funds? Obviamente, tudo isso vai contra o código de honra de um comerciante de algo. Aqui está uma alternativa.
O método de investimento antiquado é comprar algumas ações de baixo risco e esperar muito tempo. Qualquer carteira de ações tem um certo retorno médio e uma certa flutuação no valor; você normalmente quer minimizar o último e maximizar o primeiro. Como o retorno médio e a flutuação mudam o tempo todo, essa tarefa exige o rebalanceamento do portfólio em intervalos regulares. A alocação ótima de capital entre os componentes do portfólio produz um retorno médio máximo para um determinado risco permitido ou um risco mínimo & # 8211; respectivamente, variância mínima & # 8211; por um determinado retorno médio. Essa alocação ótima é muitas vezes muito diferente de investir o mesmo valor em todos os N componentes do portfólio. Uma maneira fácil de resolver esse problema de otimização de média / variância foi publicada há 60 anos por Harry Markowitz. Ele ganhou mais tarde o prêmio Nobel.
O Markowitz fora de moda.
Infelizmente, Markowitz ficou fora de moda desde então. O problema é o mesmo que com todos os algoritmos de negociação: você só pode calcular a alocação de capital ideal em retrospectiva. Portfólios otimizados falharam misteriosamente no comércio ao vivo. Dizia-se que eles costumam retornar menos que uma simples distribuição de capital 1 / N. Mas isso foi contestado recentemente em um artigo interessante (1) de Keller, Butler e Kipnis, do qual cito o primeiro parágrafo:
A Otimização de Média-Variância (MVO) como introduzida por Markowitz (1952) é freqüentemente apresentada como uma teoria elegante, mas pouco prática. MVO é um & # 8220; instável e maximizador de erros & # 8221; procedimento (Michaud 1989), e é & # 8220; quase sempre espancado por simples carteiras 1 / N & # 8221; (DeMiguel, 2007). E para citar Ang (2014): “Os pesos médios de variância têm um desempenho horrível… O portfólio ideal de média-variância é uma função complexa das médias estimadas, volatilidades e correlações dos retornos dos ativos. Existem muitos parâmetros para estimar. Portfólios otimizados de média-variância podem explodir quando há pequenos erros em qualquer uma dessas entradas & # 8230; & # 8221;.
Os portfólios otimizados dos autores citados realmente explodiram. Mas Markowitz não é culpado. Eles simplesmente não entendiam o que é a alocação ótima de capital & # 8217; significa. Suponha que você tenha um portfólio de ativos muito semelhantes, todos com retorno e variação médios quase idênticos, mas apenas um deles é um pouquinho melhor. O algoritmo de Markowitz tenderá então a atribuir todo o capital a esse ativo único. Isso é apenas lógico, pois é a alocação ótima de capital. Mas não é o portfólio ideal. Você não quer expor todo o capital a um único estoque. Se essa empresa for à falência, seu portfólio também. Este é o mencionado problema de estabilidade & # 8216 ;. No entanto, existe uma solução simples e óbvia: um limite de peso por ativo.
Afora isso, os vituperatores de Markowitz usaram períodos de tempo muito longos, revertendo a média para amostrar os retornos e covariâncias, e aplicaram o algoritmo MVO erroneamente em carteiras mistas longas / curtas. Quando aplicado corretamente a um período de tempo regulado por momentum e a portfólios longos e bem diversificados com um limite de peso, o MVO produziu resultados de amostras muito superiores a 1 / N. Isso foi comprovado testando vários exemplos de portfólios em (1) com uma implementação do R MVO pelo colega blogueiro Ilya Kipnis.
No entanto, uma implementação de R não é muito prática para negociação ao vivo. Para isso, temos que implementar o MVO em uma plataforma de negociação real. Então, podemos estacionar nosso dinheiro em uma carteira otimizada de ações e ETFs, deixar a plataforma reequilibrar a alocação de capital em intervalos regulares, recostar-se, esperar e enriquecer lentamente.
Implementando o MVO.
A implementação do Zorro é baseada em Markowitz & # 8217; 1959 publicação (2). No capítulo 8, ele descreveu o algoritmo MVO de maneira clara e fácil de seguir. Para programadores simplistas como eu, ele até incluiu uma breve introdução à álgebra linear! Eu apenas modifiquei seu algoritmo original adicionando a restrição de peso mencionada. Essa restrição estabiliza o algoritmo e mantém o portfólio diversificado.
Na sábia antecipação de futuras máquinas de computação, Markowitz também incluiu um exemplo de portfólio para verificar se você programou seu algoritmo corretamente. A prova:
Os arrays de meios e covariâncias no script são de Markowitz & # 8217; exemplo de portfólio. A função markowitz executa o algoritmo e retorna o valor de variância associado ao melhor índice de Sharpe. A função markowitzReturn calcula os pesos de alocação de capital com o retorno médio máximo para um determinado desvio. Os pesos para a variação máxima, melhor e mínima são impressos. Se eu fiz direito, eles devem ser exatamente o mesmo que em Markowitz & # 8217; publicação:
Selecionando os ativos.
Para carteiras de longo prazo, você não pode usar os mesmos instrumentos de alta alavancagem Forex ou CFD que prefere para suas estratégias de curto prazo. Em vez disso, você normalmente investe em ações, ETFs ou instrumentos similares. Eles oferecem várias vantagens para negociação de algo:
Nenhum jogo de soma zero. No longo prazo, as ações e índices ETFs têm retornos médios positivos devido a dividendos e valor acumulado, enquanto pares de Forex e CFDs de índice têm retornos médios negativos devido a taxas de swap / rollover.
A desvantagem óbvia é a baixa alavancagem, como 1: 2 em comparação com 1: 100 ou mais para instrumentos Forex. Baixa alavancagem é aceitável para um sistema de longo prazo, mas não para enriquecer rapidamente. Mais restrições se aplicam a carteiras de longo prazo. MVO obviamente não irá funcionar bem com componentes que não têm retorno médio positivo. E isso não funcionará bem quando os retornos estiverem fortemente correlacionados. Portanto, ao selecionar ativos para o seu portfólio de longo prazo, você deve procurar não apenas pelos retornos, mas também pela correlação. Aqui está a parte principal de um script Zorro para isso:
O script primeiro configura alguns parâmetros e, em seguida, entra em loop por N ativos. Aqui acabei de inserir alguns ETFs populares; Para substituí-los, sites como o etfdb fornecem uma visão geral e ajudam a procurar a combinação ideal do ETF.
Na execução inicial, os preços dos ativos são baixados do Yahoo. Eles são corrigidos para divisões e dividendos. A função assetHistory armazena-os como arquivos de dados de preços históricos. Em seguida, os ativos são selecionados e seus retornos são calculados e armazenados na série de dados Devoluções. Isso é repetido com todas as barras de 1 dia de um período de teste de 7 anos (obviamente, o período depende de quando os ETFs selecionados estão disponíveis). Na execução final, o script imprime os retornos médios anuais e os desvios de todos os ativos, que são o primeiro e o segundo momentos da série de devoluções. A função anual e o fator de multiplicação 252 convertem os valores diários em valores anuais. Os resultados para os ETFs selecionados:
O ETF ideal tem alto retorno médio, baixa variância e baixa correlação com todos os outros ativos do portfólio. A correlação pode ser vista na matriz de correlação que é calculada a partir de todos os retornos coletados no código acima, depois plotada em um mapa de calor N * N:
A matriz de correlação contém os coeficientes de correlação de cada ativo com todos os outros ativos. As linhas e colunas do mapa de calor são os 6 ativos. As cores vão do azul para baixa correlação entre o recurso de linha e coluna, para vermelho para alta correlação. Como qualquer ativo se correlaciona perfeitamente com ele mesmo, sempre temos uma diagonal vermelha. Mas você pode ver nos outros quadrados vermelhos que alguns dos meus 6 ETFs populares não eram uma boa escolha. Encontrar a combinação perfeita do ETF, com o mapa de calor o mais azul possível, é deixado como um exercício para o leitor.
A fronteira eficiente
Depois de selecionar os ativos para o nosso portfólio, agora temos que calcular a alocação ótima de capital, usando o algoritmo MVO. No entanto, & # 8220; ideal & # 8221; depende do risco desejado, ou seja, a volatilidade da carteira. Para cada valor de risco, há uma alocação ótima que gera o retorno máximo. Portanto, a alocação ótima não é um ponto, mas uma curva no plano de retorno / variação, denominada Fronteira Eficiente. Podemos calcular e traçar com este script:
Eu omiti a primeira parte, pois ela é idêntica ao script do mapa de calor. Apenas a matriz de covariância é agora calculada em vez da matriz de correlação. Covariâncias e retornos médios são alimentados à função markowitz que novamente retorna a variância com a melhor relação de Sharpe. As chamadas subsequentes para markowitzVariance também retornam a maior e a menor variação da fronteira eficiente e estabelecem as bordas da plotagem. Finalmente, o script traça 50 pontos do retorno médio anual da menor para a maior variação:
No lado direito, podemos ver que a carteira atinge um retorno anual máximo de cerca de 12,9%, que é simplesmente todo o capital alocado para a SPY. No lado esquerdo, obtemos apenas 5,4% de retorno, mas com menos de um décimo da variação diária. O ponto verde é o ponto da fronteira com o melhor índice de Sharpe (= retorno dividido pela raiz quadrada da variância) com 10% de retorno anual e 0,025 de variação. Este é o portfólio ideal & # 8211; pelo menos em retrospectiva.
Experimentos
Como um portfólio otimizado de média / variância se sairá em um teste fora da amostra, comparado com 1 / N? Aqui está um script para experimentos com diferentes composições de portfólio, períodos de lookback, restrições de peso e variações:
O script passa por 7 anos de dados históricos e armazena os retornos diários na série de dados Returns. No primeiro dia de negociação de cada mês (tdm () == 1), calcula-se as médias e a matriz de covariância dos últimos 252 dias e calcula-se a fronteira eficiente. Desta vez também aplicamos uma restrição de peso de 0,5 ao ponto mínimo de variação. Com base nessa fronteira eficiente, calculamos o retorno total diário com pesos iguais (ReturnN), melhor relação Sharpe (ReturnBest), variância mínima (ReturnMin) e Retorno máximo (ReturnMax). Os pesos permanecem inalterados até o próximo reequilíbrio, estabelecendo assim um teste fora da amostra. Os quatro retornos diários são somados em até quatro curvas de patrimônio diferentes:
Podemos ver que o MVO melhora o portfólio em todas as três variantes, apesar de sua má reputação. A linha preta é o portfólio 1 / N com pesos iguais para todos os ativos. A linha azul é o portfólio de variância mínima & # 8211; podemos ver que produz lucros ligeiramente melhores que 1 / N, mas com volatilidade muito menor. A linha vermelha é a carteira de retorno máximo com o melhor lucro, mas alta volatilidade e quedas acentuadas. A linha verde, o portfólio máximo do Sharpe, está em algum lugar entre os dois. Composições de portfólios diferentes podem produzir uma ordem diferente de linhas, mas as linhas azul e verde quase sempre têm uma relação Sharpe muito melhor do que a linha preta. Uma vez que o portfólio de variância mínima pode ser negociado com alavancagem mais alta devido aos rebaixamentos menores, ele freqüentemente produz os maiores lucros.
Para verificar o rebalanceamento mensal dos pesos de alocação de capital, podemos exibir os pesos em um mapa de calor:
O eixo horizontal é o mês da simulação, o eixo vertical o número do ativo. Pesos altos são vermelhos e pesos baixos são azuis. A distribuição de peso acima é para o portfólio máximo de Sharpe dos 6 ETFs.
O sistema final de estacionamento de dinheiro.
Depois de todos esses experimentos, agora podemos codificar nosso sistema de longo prazo. Trabalhará da seguinte maneira:
A fronteira eficiente é calculada a partir dos retornos diários dos últimos 252 dias de negociação, ou seja, um ano. Esse é um bom período de tempo para MVO de acordo com (1), uma vez que a maioria dos ETFs mostra um momentum de um ano.
Aqui está o script:
No painel do Zorro você pode configurar o capital investido com um controle deslizante (TotalCapital) entre 0 e 10.000 $. Um segundo slider (VFactor) é para configurar o risco desejado de 0 a 100%: Em 0 você está negociando com variância mínima, em 100 com relação máxima de Sharpe.
Este script aconselha apenas, mas não negocia: Para negociação automatizada, você precisaria de um plugin API para um corretor ETF, como o IB. Mas a versão gratuita do Zorro só tem plugins para corretores Forex / CFD; o plugin IB não é gratuito. No entanto, como as posições só são abertas ou fechadas uma vez por mês e os dados de preços são gratuitos do Yahoo, você não precisa realmente de uma conexão API para negociar um portfólio MVO. Basta iniciar o script acima uma vez por mês e verificar o que é impresso:
Aparentemente, a carteira ótima para este mês consiste em 3 contratos SPY, 16 contratos GLD e 15 contratos VGLT. Agora você pode abrir ou fechar manualmente essas posições na plataforma de negociação de seu corretor até que seu portfólio corresponda ao aviso impresso. A alavancagem é 4 por padrão, mas você pode mudar isso para a alavancagem do seu corretor no #define no início do script. Para um script que é negociado, basta substituir a instrução printf por um comando de negociação que abre ou fecha a diferença para a posição atual do ativo. Isso também é deixado como um exercício para o leitor & # 8230;
MVO vs. OptimalF.
Parece natural usar o MVO não apenas para um portfólio de muitos ativos, mas também para um portfólio de muitos sistemas de negociação. Eu testei isso com o sistema Z12 que vem com o Zorro e contém cerca de 100 combinações diferentes de sistema / ativo. Descobriu-se que o MVO não produziu melhores resultados do que os fatores OptimalF de Ralph Vince, que são originalmente usados pelo sistema. Os fatores OptimalF não consideram as correlações entre os componentes, mas consideram as profundidades de rebaixamento, enquanto a MVO é baseada apenas em médias e covariâncias. A solução definitiva para tal portfólio de muitos sistemas de negociação pode ser uma combinação de MVO para a distribuição de capital e OptimalF para restrições de peso. Eu não testei isso ainda, mas está na minha lista de tarefas.
Eu adicionei todos os scripts ao repositório de scripts de 2016. Você precisará do Zorro 1.44 ou superior para executá-los. E depois de ter feito seu primeiro milhão com o script MVO, não se esqueça de patrocinar o Zorro generosamente! 🙂
Momentum e Markowitz & # 8211; Uma combinação de ouro: Keller. Butler. Kipnis.2015.
76 pensamentos sobre "Get Rich Slowly & rdquo;
Markowitz parece não ser tão fora de moda & # 8221; mais, uns dois papéis saíram sobre trocar seu algoritmo nos últimos meses. Eu vou testar este conceito. Obrigado por este ótimo artigo e pelos roteiros!
Alguém me perguntou como evitar abrir mais de 4 posições a qualquer momento. Para isso, você precisa definir todos os pesos como zero, exceto pelos 4 pesos mais altos. Estou postando o snippet de código aqui, caso outras pessoas tenham a mesma pergunta:
int * idx = sortIdx (pesos, N);
var TotalWeight = 0;
para (i = N-4; i & lt; N; i ++) // soma os 4 pesos mais altos.
else // ajusta pesos para que sua soma ainda seja 1.
Johann, você vai publicar uma edição em inglês do seu livro (Das Börsenhackerbuch: Finanziell unabhängig durch algorithmisch Handelssysteme)?
Depende da demanda. Além disso, meu inglês pode ser suficiente para um blog, mas possivelmente não para um livro.
Outra contribuição notável! O que me intriga um pouco é que o recém-lançado sistema Z8 vem com um conjunto padrão de recursos que parece não cumprir o & quot; desesperadamente & # 8221; queria falta de correlação. Pode ser apenas um subconjunto de quatro ativos não correlacionados. Alguns dos outros ativos têm correlações muito substanciais, como é evidente, da execução do script heatmap de correlação na lista de ativos do Z8. O que motivou essa coleção particular de ativos?
Sim, os ZF ETFs foram selecionados apenas por considerações fundamentais, como cobrir seções de mercado com uma perspectiva positiva. Eles não foram selecionados por sua correlação. Mas você pode substituí-los por outros ativos, se quiser.
Na verdade, é uma excelente e útil informação. Eu m.
satisfeito que você acabou de compartilhar esta informação útil conosco.
Por favor, mantenha-nos atualizados assim. Obrigado por compartilhar.
artigo incrível. Eu adicionei alguns etfs para o script, mas quando eu corro, ele imprime um número negativo para alguns. por exemplo. TLT & # 8211; 3 contratos em 139. Você tem alguma idéia de por que isso pode ser ou como consertar isso?
O número é calculado a partir do Capital * Peso / MarginCost e, como nenhum deles é negativo, o número não deve ser o mesmo que eu vejo. Bem, fenômenos como este tornam a vida do programador interessante. Se você não mudou nada com o script, deixe-me saber quais recursos você adicionou. Quando obtenho números negativos também, posso muito provavelmente dizer-lhes o motivo.
Ei obrigado jcl pela resposta rápida. isso parece ser muito estranho. Eu sou muito novo para programação / negociação, então eu apenas adicionei alguns dos ativos da lista de ativos z8.
Eu vou apenas copiar a parte do ativo:
& # 8230; Eu não mudei o código além disso.
obrigado antecipadamente 🙂
ah, eu acabei de ver que eu tenho "TLT & # 8221; duas vezes na lista. Acabei de remover um e agora tudo funciona bem!
Bom, também certifique-se de que, quando você tiver mais de 30 ativos, mude a opção & # 8220; NN & # 8221; definição no script para o número máximo de ativos.
Oi Johann, isso funciona para estoques? BTW, como se faz uso da saída? Digamos que eu execute o script agora e mostre AAPL: 3 contratos em 114 $. O preço para 1 unidade de AAPL agora é de 112,99 $. Isso significa que, se eu não tiver qualquer posição na AAPL, posso comprá-la a 112,99 $ e esperar que ela chegue a 114 $ antes de fechar ou devo esperar que o preço atinja 114 $ antes de comprar ? Eu acho que o primeiro faz mais sentido. Obrigado.
Sim, isso também funciona para as ações, mas elas têm maior volatilidade do que os ETFs, então você precisa de ações mais diferentes para a diversificação. Você compra a posição no mercado. O preço exibido é apenas do histórico do Yahoo do dia anterior.
Oi Johann, obrigado pela resposta útil. Você mencionou que o roteiro deve ser executado uma vez por mês para abrir ou fechar uma posição. Então, digamos que eu tenha uma posição no AAPL do mês anterior e quando eu executar o script agora e a saída não mostrar AAPL, isso significa que eu vou fechá-lo? Obrigado.
Oi Johann, obrigado pela resposta. Eu compilei uma lista de ações que eu queria negociar e existem cerca de 100. No código, eu mudei o tamanho da matriz, NN para 120 e incluiu os 100 estoques no entanto, o script é executado em erro em tempo de execução que diz, & # 8220; Erro 111: Falha no script: run () & # 8221; e não pode prosseguir. Qualquer ideia? Estou executando o Zorro 1.44 no Windows 7 de 64 bits. Obrigado.
Se você alterou o NN para um valor maior, coloque também todos os arrays fora da função ou torne-os estáticos. Se bem me lembro, o tamanho da pilha padrão é de cerca de 100 KB, portanto, matrizes locais muito grandes podem excedê-lo.
Qual é a diferença entre este script e o script Z8 da estratégia do Zorro?
Eu acho que não há diferença fundamental. O Z8 é apenas uma versão desse script.
Eu sou novo (tanto para o programa quanto para a negociação) e muito interessante para isso "Get Rich Slowly & # 8221 ;. Você poderia me enviar um e-mail como criar uma conta e trabalhar com seu sistema passo a passo?
E tudo sobre custo e tempo de estudo (normal).
Obrigado! Feliz Ano Novo!
Se você é novo, o primeiro passo seria fazer um curso de negociação e programação. Um pequeno pode ser encontrado no manual do Zorro, um curso mais extenso é oferecido por um colega blogueiro, Robotwealth. Você pode se inscrever em seu curso & # 8220; Algorithmic Trading Fundamentals & # 8221; na página de download do Zorro, zorro-project / download. php.
Não entendo por que você está usando priceClose () para calcular retornos.
Você deve usar o preço ajustado para essa finalidade, você não deveria?
Eu não encontrei no Zorro nenhuma função que executa o priceAdjust, nem qualquer comentário sobre o manual deles, por quê?
Interessante que o Zorro não fornece nenhum build-in & # 8220; return & # 8221; função,
oposta a R, que fornece muitos.
Sim, os preços nos backtests devem ser e são ajustados quando não mencionado de outra forma. Eu não usei & # 8220; return & # 8221; função no script desde que eu confiei no leitor para reconhecer uma expressão de retorno ao vê-lo.
Em que idioma o roteiro está escrito?
Oi jcl, eu vejo que você não fez WFO neste sistema, eu acho que é porque o período de um ano atrás e o período de reequilíbrio de um mês foram ótimos. O WFO não faz sentido aqui, está correto?
Eu adiciono script abaixo ao seu script MVO e espero ver uma curva de capital, mas nada aconteceu, o que eu fiz de errado?
Eu suponho que você não deve definir o & # 8220; NumWFOCycles & # 8221; variável. É apenas para o WFO. Como não há parâmetros otimizados no script, também não há WFO.
Obrigado por seu comentário imediato.
Eu posso testar o Z8, obter todas as métricas como AR, SR Monte Carlo etc. Como posso fazer a mesma coisa com o MVO? Eu ainda preciso entender como seus resultados se parecem antes de colocá-lo em negociação ao vivo. Na sua palavra, como posso testar o MVO?
Ao entrar e fechar posições. O Z8 faz isso, enquanto os scripts aqui só traçam as curvas de retorno.
Eu acho que temos três métricas aqui para candidatos a ativos, média, variância e correlação, qual você acha que é mais importante?
Nem. Ao olhar para um único ativo, a média dividida pela raiz quadrada da variância é uma métrica mais importante que a média ou a variância sozinha. Ao olhar para um portfólio, é a média total dividida pela raiz quadrada da variância total.
Como sobre correlações?
A média dividida pela raiz quadrada da variância é semelhante à Razão Sharp?
Sim, é o índice de Sharpe, além de um fator constante. E a correlação é tão importante quanto afeta a variância total de uma carteira & # 8211; menor correlação significa menor variância total.
Eu respondi uma discussão no fórum sobre o MVO, você poderia, por favor, dar uma olhada?
Infelizmente meu chefe não me permite verificar código de programa de mais de 10 linhas & # 8211; pelo menos não sem exigir dinheiro. Mas o que não funciona com o seu código, você pode facilmente descobrir com o depurador. Sirva-se, então ajude-o deus. O procedimento é descrito no manual do Zorro em "Resolução de problemas & # 8221 ;.
Isso é bom, eu sou usuário do ZorroS, vou pedir para a sua equipe de suporte olhar mais tarde, eu acho que eles fariam isso como o suporte de email de 4 semanas.
Você deu 2 versões do MVOtest, quando você calculou o BestVariance, usou um limite de peso diferente, 0.5 para a versão original e 5./N para o último, parece uma constante 5 dividida pelo número de ativos. Se eu tiver 50 ativos, o maior peso em apenas 10%. Eu entendi corretamente? Por que é que? Diversificando?
Sim. De nossos experimentos até agora, muitos ativos e tampas de baixo peso são melhores que poucos ativos e altos limites de peso.
Quando você diz melhor, eu acho que você quer dizer baixa variância, não necessariamente alto retorno ou alta taxa de nitidez, é?
Neste caso, um melhor índice de Sharpe.
Você acha que colocar algum recurso de correlação negativa / inversa, como VIX, na AssetList é uma boa ideia?
Somente quando tem expectativa positiva, como ativos derivados de ações ou índices. VIX provavelmente não. Talvez XIV, que pode subir a níveis elevados, mas pode impor alto risco.
Obrigado, você foi útil.
Quaisquer métricas para medir a correlação global de todos os ativos, como média dividida pelo sqrt da variação, exceto o mapa de calor? É visual, não numérico.
Não há tais métricas quanto ao meu conhecimento, mas você pode facilmente inventar algumas. Por exemplo, a soma de todos os elementos da matriz de correlação dividida pelo número de elementos.
Obrigado por sua resposta.
Se eu encontrar alguns novos ativos com média / sqrt mais alta da razão de variância do que a existente, devo simplesmente substituir o antigo pelo novo? Ou devemos modificar a lista de ativos periodicamente? Como todos os anos? Ou não devemos modificar a lista de ativos!
Tenha um bom dia!
Por todos os meios, sinta-se livre para usar outros ativos. Pelo que ouvi, a maioria das pessoas usa suas próprias listas de ativos com a estratégia do Z8, em vez dos ativos padrão.
Obrigado pela sua resposta, mas não é o que eu pedi. Eu entendo que podemos usar outros ativos que não o AssetZ8, minha pergunta é: devemos periodicamente, digamos todos os anos, atualizar a lista de ativos, usando novos ativos com maior momento, menor variação para substituir os antigos que estiveram em vigor. a lista. F. I., usando o TSLA, que não está na lista agora, mas com maior momento e menor variância para substituir a GE, que está na lista. Ou nós simplesmente adicionamos os novos na lista, então temos uma lista maior.
Espero ter feito isso claramente.
Eu entendo sua pergunta, mas isso depende completamente de você e do desempenho do sistema. Se um ativo tiver um desempenho espetacularmente ruim ou se você receber más notícias sobre ele, remova-o ou substitua-o. Ou, se você encontrar alguns novos recursos promissores, adicione-os. O sistema apenas determina os pesos ideais do portfólio. Além dos custos de negociação, não há nenhuma desvantagem em adicionar ou remover ativos.
Oi Johann Obrigado por postar os artigos maravilhosos. Eu gostava de ler todos eles. O desempenho mais atrasado da estratégia do Z8 é notável, com muito poucas perdas. Eu testei o script aberto que você incluiu neste blog usando os mesmos 24 ETFs da estratégia do Z8. Mas os resultados não são tão bons quanto o Z8. Você mencionou em um post anterior que o Z8 é apenas uma versão simplificada do script. Você se importaria de lançar mais luz sobre as principais diferenças entre os dois? Muito obrigado!
O Z8 é um pouco otimizado. AFAIK usa um período de lookback de 150 dias para uma adaptação mais rápida, e uma posição na EF muito próxima da variação mínima. Além disso, o limite de peso é 4 / número de ativos.
Obrigado pela sua resposta, Johann. Após mais testes, descobri que a função Covariance () no Zoro é definida como Sum ((X_i & # 8211; X_mean) * (Y_i & # 8211; Y_mean)). Convencionalmente, a covariância é definida como a soma dividida por (LookBack-1). Como a diferença é apenas uma questão de dimensionamento, ela não deve afetar o desempenho do backtest com os mesmos parâmetros. Mas quando eu testei o código com a definição modificada, Cov = Covaraince () / (LookBack-1), o desempenho do backtest parece bem diferente. Você pode por favor olhar para ele? Muito obrigado!
Não consigo ver a diferença com o script MVOTest quando multiplico a covariância por um fator ou os divido por Lookback-1. Com qual teste você conseguiu a diferença?
Eu quis dizer o último script incluído no seu artigo. Eu acho que pode haver um pequeno erro no script. A linha & var VarVariance = markowitzReturn (0,0); & # 8221; ser & min; var MinVariance = markowitzVariance (0,0); & # 8221; em vez de? Obrigado!
De fato! Obrigado pela informação. Eu corrigi a linha errada.
Dentro dos scripts markowitz 2016 entregues, o compilador dá erros.
& # 8220; número inválido de argumentos & # 8221; função markowitz ()
Eu adicionei um parâmetro zero & # 8230; mas não tenho certeza se está correto.
Sim, zero está correto. A versão de lançamento tinha um parâmetro Cap adicionado à função markowitz. Eu vou corrigir o script.
Por que o Zorro não pôde fazer o download do Yahoo? Eu tentei um par de vezes, mas falhei e deu o código de erro 056. Eu verifiquei o Yahoo, parece bem. O que está acontecendo lá? Isso costumava funcionar muito bem.
Tentei alterar o & # 8220; FROM_YAHOO & # 8221; para o & # 8220; FROM_QUANTL & # 8221 ;, mas não funciona, podemos usar outro servidor on-line e qual é o caminho certo para fazer isso?
Obrigado, está funcionando agora.
Você mencionou que o Z8 usa o LookBack de 150 dias, podemos usar o Optimize () para descobrir um período LookBack ideal? Se pudermos, como?
Claro, você pode otimizá-lo como qualquer outro parâmetro. Defina LookBack para o período máximo e otimize o período usado para calcular as médias e a matriz de covariância.
Oi Johann É possível modificar a função Markowitz () para permitir restrições no peso máximo de cada ativo? Se não, você sabe de algum bom pacote de programação quadrática escrito em C que você recomendaria usar com o Zorro? Obrigado!
Sim, a função markowitz também aceita um vetor de limites de peso como último parâmetro.
Oi, posso entender mais sobre essa linha no código?
Qual a diferença entre esta linha e no manual do Zorro para o cálculo do AR (Annual Return) na seção de análise de desempenho?
O resultado varia.
A linha citada calcula o retorno atual multiplicando o retorno de ontem com o ganho de hoje. O AR do Zorro é uma medida do desempenho da estratégia, ele divide o retorno total pela soma do rebaixamento máximo e da margem máxima.
Fiz muito trabalho e codificação disso em Python. Gostei muito do trabalho de Ilya. Tendo seguido as tendências no mercado de futuros por muitos anos, eu estava procurando por algo muito diferente. Infelizmente esta abordagem é disfarçada. Pelo meu dinheiro eu prefiro ponderar a volatilidade inversa em um portfólio de & ldquo; não correlacionado & # 8221; ETFs. Infelizmente, é claro, nos últimos anos & # 8220; não correlacionado & # 8221; tornou-se um pouco absurdo em uma crise.
Sim, com retornos de longo prazo para o cálculo de pesos de portfólio, a maioria dos algoritmos acaba seguindo algum tipo de tendência, já que a tendência é a principal ineficiência de mercado de longos períodos. Para algo muito diferente, você tem que mudar para negociação de curto prazo e explorar a reversão à média ou outras anomalias do mercado.
Não necessariamente, eu acho. Talvez certas carry trades desempenhem um papel útil em suplementar a tendência seguinte. Estou a pensar em "carry trades" # 8221; neste contexto, como sendo negócios que "ganham" # 8221; em vez de especular. Embora, como você aponta, os equites ganham & # 8221; através de uma combinação de dividendos + desempenho de preço impulsionado pelo crescimento dos lucros a longo prazo.
Mas, mais especificamente, o carry trades de juros sobre moedas (embora haja novamente talvez uma tendência seguindo um elemento contrário à paridade da taxa de juros), acumule prêmio sobre futuros e venda de prêmios com opções. Nenhum dos quais, infelizmente, é livre de risco.
Na verdade, o problema com sistemas lentos e de longo prazo é quase o mesmo que em coisas de curto prazo. Francamente Nada tem muito poder de previsão e o que funcionou ontem pode não funcionar amanhã. Veja o que aconteceu com Bill Dunn e JW Henry na esfera do CTA. Olhe para os retornos de CTA de merda dos últimos 5 anos. Seu artigo sobre HFT e arb é uma aposta muito melhor para aqueles que têm o conjunto de habilidades certo, embora ambos saibamos que os retornos de HFT estiveram em declínio no ambiente de baixa volatilidade recente nos últimos anos.
Mas como você aponta, front running não requer muita previsão, nem arbing. Se você tiver muitas centenas de milhares de dólares para a infraestrutura.
MathCon.
A empresa de matemática.
Reflexões breves sobre as matemáticas e aplicações.
La historia de la ciencia muestra claramente que muchas teorias matemáticas tuvieron como origen problemas prбcticos.
Conclusões
Por isso tanto, não há correcção e uma teoria matemática para algo ou não. Sino mebs bien, lo correcto es resolver un problema préctico con alguna teorica a behaviour considerando se aquece que han permanecido como puras hasta hoy.
Aplicaciones de las matemбticas.
1.- Matemáticas e Criptografía.
Noções Básicas Sobre Criptografia: Um Manual para Estudantes e Praticantes, Christof Paar, Jan Pelzl, Springer; 1ª edição.2ª edição impressa (8 de julho de 2010).
Um Curso em Teoria dos Números e Criptografia, Neal Koblitz, Springer; 2a edição (2 de setembro de 1994).
Uma Introdução à Criptografia Matemática, Jeffrey Hoffstein, Jill Pipher, J. H. Silverman, Springer; 1 edição (12 de agosto de 2008).
Manual de Criptografia de Curvas Elíptica e Hiperelítica, Henri Cohen, Gerhard Frey, Roberto Avanzi, Christophe Doche, Tanja Lange, Kim Nguyen, Frederik Vercauteren (Editores), Chapman e Hall / CRC; 1 edição (19 de julho de 2005).
Curvas Elípticas: Teoria dos Números e Criptografia, Lawrence C. Washington, Chapman e Hall / CRC; 2 edição (3 de abril de 2008).
Journal of Cryptology, Springer.
2 .- Matemáticas e Redes Sociais.
Modelos e Métodos em Análise de Redes Sociais. Peter J. Carrington, John Scott, Stanley Wasserman, (editores), Cambridge University Press (2005).
Análise de Redes Sociais: Métodos e Aplicações. Stanley Wasserman, Katherine Faust, Cambridge University Press (1994).
3.- Matemáticas e Finanzas.
As finanças de natureza natural aparecem como uma das disciplinas que utilizam as matemáticas. Desde os problemas de pagamentos porcenta os modelos de pagamento de investimento, o ajuste de bolsa, etc. A probabilidad, o movimento browniano, o anablisis, filho parte de esta estação de exercício.
Matemática e Economia Financeira, Springer.
Finanças Matemáticas Aplicadas, Taylor e Francis.
Finanças Matemáticas, Wiley.
Revista de Matemática Financeira, SIAM.
4 .- Matemáticas e Google.
Google PageRank e Beyond, The Science of search engine rankings Amy N. Langville, Carl D. Meyer, Princeton University Press, (2006).
5. Matemáticas em Sociologia e Psicologia.
A matemática do comportamento. Earl Hunt, Cambridge University Press; 1 edição (30 de outubro de 2006).
Jornal de Psicologia Matemática, Elsevier.
Revista Britânica de Psicologia Matemática e Estatística, Wiley.
Jornal de Sociologia Matemática, Taylor e Francis.
6.- Jogo de cartas en el combatido organizado.
Mineração de Dados para Inteligência, Fraude e Detecção Criminal: Análise Avançada e Tecnologias de Compartilhamento de Informações. Shlomo Christopher Westphal, CRC Press (22 de dezembro de 2008). Springer (2009).
Mineração de Dados Investigativos para Segurança e Detecção Criminal. Nasrullah Memon, Jesus Mena, Butterworth-Heinemann; 1 edição (30 de dezembro de 2002). Springer (2009).
7.- Matemáticas e cubo de Rubik.
Notas de cubo de Rubik. Daniel Bump. Professor de Matemática da Universidade de Stanford.
8.- Matemáticas e Mães.
Música Formalizada: Pensamento e Matemática em Composição. Iannis Xenakis, Pendragon Pr; 2ª edição (10 de março de 2001).
A matemática por trás da música. Leon Harkleroad, Cambridge University Press (7 de agosto de 2006).
Matemática e Música. David Wright, American Mathematical Society (25 de agosto de 2009).
Jornal de Matemática e Música, Taylor e Francis.
9.- El sexo das Matemáticas.
A matemática do sexo: como a biologia e a sociedade conspiram para limitar mulheres e meninas talentosas. Stephen J. Ceci (Autor), Wendy M. Williams, Editora da Universidade de Oxford, EUA; 1 edição (2 de setembro de 2009).
10.- Matemáticas e Arte.
Matemática e Arte, uma introdução à Matemática Visual. Sasho, Kalajdzievski (Autor), CRC Press, (2008).
Matemática e a mona Lisa, a arte e a ciência de Leonardo da Vinci. Bulent (Autor), HarperCollins Publishers, (2006).
Revista de Matemática e Artes, Taylor e Francis.
11.- Matemáticas e Futebol (Fъtbol).
A Física do Futebol: Usando Matemática e Ciência para Melhorar o Seu Jogo. Deji Badiru, iUniverse (20 de janeiro de 2010).
A ciência do futebol. John Wesson, Instituto de Publicação Física; 1 edição (24 de maio de 2002).
Mathletics: como jogadores, gerentes e entusiastas do esporte usam matemática em beisebol, basquete e futebol. Wayne L. Winston, Princeton University Press; Nova edição (16 de março de 2012).
12.- Matemáticas e Sexo.
Matemática e Sexo. Clio Cresswell, Allen & Unwin (1 de setembro de 2004).
13.- Matemáticas e Vida Diaria.
Matemática da vida real: Uso cotidiano de conceitos matemáticos. Evan M. Glazer, Greenwood (30 de outubro de 2008).
Matemática da vida real para álgebra, grau 9-12. Walter Sherwood, J Weston Walch; 2 edição (1 de janeiro de 2007).
14.- Matemáticas e Medicina.
Epidemiologia e Bioestatística: Uma Introdução à Pesquisa Clínica. Bryan Kestenbaum, Springer; 1 edição (10 de setembro de 2009).
Epidemiologia Matemática. Fred Brauer, Springer; 1 edição (6 de junho de 2008).
Modelos matemáticos em biologia populacional e epidemiologia. Fred Brauer, Carlos Castillo-Chávez, Springer; 2º. Edição de 2012 (31 de dezembro de 2011).
Modelagem e Simulação em Medicina e Ciências da Vida. Frank C. Hoppensteadt, Springer; 2ª edição (5 de outubro de 2001).
IMA Journal of Mathematics Aplicado em Medicina e Biologia, Oxford Journals.
15.- Matemáticas de Civilizações Antiguas.
Matemática dos Incas: Código do Quipu. Marcia Ascher, Robert Ascher, Dover Publications (9 de abril de 1997).
O calendário asteca: matemática e design. Charles William Johnson, Earthmatrx Editions (15 de setembro de 2005).
Matemática dos nativos americanos. MIchael P. Closs, University of Texas Press (1996).
África conta: número e padrão nas culturas africanas. Claudia Zaslavsky, Lawrence Hill Books; 3ª edição (1 de abril de 1999).
Etnomatemática: uma visão multicultural de idéias matemáticas. M. Ascher, Springer; 1 edição (13 de junho de 1991).
16.- Matemáticas e Juegos de Azar.
A matemática do jogo. Edward Thorp, Lyle Stuart (março de 1985).
A matemática dos jogos e jogos de azar. MIchael P. Closs, Associação Matemática da América (5 de setembro de 1996).
Matemática em Jogos, Esportes e Jogos de Azar: - The Games People Play6th edition (fevereiro de 1999). Ronald J. Gould, Chapman e Hall / CRC; 1 edição (28 de julho de 2009).
Jogos discretos e jogos estocásticos. Ashok P. Maitra, William D. Sudderth, Springer; 1 edição (14 de março de 1996).
17.- Matemáticas e El Trófico.
Matemática das Redes de Fluxo de Tráfego: Modelagem, Simulação e Otimização, Michael Herty, Logos (21 de julho de 2004).
Princípios de Engenharia Rodoviária e Análise de Tráfego, Fred L. Mannering, Wiley; 4 edição (9 de setembro de 2008).
Engenharia de Tráfego, Roger P. Roess, Elena S. Prassas, William R. McShane, Prentice Hall; 4 edição (4 de julho de 2010).
18.- Matemáticas e Biologia.
Modelos Teóricos em Biologia: A Origem da Vida, o Sistema Imunológico e o Cérebro, Glenn Rowe, Clarendon Press; Nova edição Ed (25 set 1997).
Técnicas Matemáticas para Biologia e Medicina, William Simon, Dover Publications (1 de fevereiro de 1987).
Cálculos para Biologia Molecular e Biotecnologia: Um Guia para a Matemática no Laboratório, Frank H. Stephenson, Academic Press; 1 edição (14 de julho de 2003).
Biology by Numbers: Um Encorajamento ao Pensamento Quantitativo, Richard F. Burton, Cambridge University Press; 1 edição (28 de fevereiro de 1998).
Modelos dinâmicos em biologia, Stephen P. Ellner, John Guckenheimer, Princeton University Press; 1 edição (27 de março de 2006).
Biologia Matemática Essencial, Nicholas F. Britton, Springer; 1ª ed. 2003. 2ª impressão 2ª impressão. edição (28 de outubro de 2004).
Biologia Matemática: Eu, II. Uma Introdução, James D. Murray, Springer; 3ª edição (8 de dezembro de 2007).
19.- Matemáticas e Física.
Matemática da Física Clássica e Quântica, Frederick W. Byron, Robert W. Fuller, Dover Publications (20 de agosto de 1992).
20.- Matemáticas e Químicas.
Matemática para Química Quântica, Jay Martin Anderson, Dover Publications (11 de fevereiro de 2005).
Matemática para a Química Física, Donald A. McQuarrie, University Science Books (10 de abril de 2008).
Teoria e Química de Grupo, David M. Bishop, Dover Publications; Una Rev edição (14 de janeiro de 1993).
21.- Matemáticas e Arquitectura.
A Nova Matemática da Arquitetura, Jane Burry, Mark Burry, Tâmisa e Hudson (8 de novembro de 2010).
Geometria Fractal em Arquitetura e Design, Carl Bovill, Birkhoduser Boston; 1 edição (28 de março de 1996).
Arquitetura e Matemática no Egito Antigo, Corinna Rossi, Cambridge University Press; 1 edição (18 de junho de 2007).
Quadratura do Círculo: Geometria em Arte e Arquitetura, Paul A. Calter, Wiley; 1 edição (10 de junho de 2008).
O elenco projetivo: Arquitetura e suas três geometrias, Robin Evans, The MIT Press (28 de agosto de 2000).
Nexus Network Journal: Arquitetura e Matemática, Birkhдuser Basel.
22.- Matemáticas e Diseño 3D.
Matemática para programação de jogos 3D e computação gráfica, Eric Lengyel, curso de tecnologia PTR; 3ª edição (2 de junho de 2011).
Primer Matemática 3D para Gráficos e Desenvolvimento de Jogos, Fletcher Dunn, Ian Parberry, Jones e Bartlett Publishers; 1 edição (21 de junho de 2002).
23. Matemáticas e Soluciones de Problemas.
Estratégias de Solução de Problemas, Arthur Engel, Springer; Edição corrigida (12 de dezembro de 1997).
A arte e a arte da resolução de problemas, Paul Zeitz, Wiley; 2 edição (18 de agosto de 2006).
Como Resolvê-lo: Um Novo Aspecto do Método Matemático, G. Polya, Princeton University Press (5 de abril de 2004).
Resolução de Problemas Através de Problemas, Loren C. Larson, Springer; 1a edição (1983).
Teoria do Conhecimento, Nicolas Alchin, Hodder Education; 2a edição (27 de janeiro de 2006).
24. Matemáticas, Genética e DNA.
Matemática da Análise do Genoma, Jerome K. Percus, Cambridge University Press; 1 edição (3 de dezembro de 2001).
Fundamentos da Genética Matemática, Anthony W. F. Edwards, Cambridge University Press; 2 edição (13 de janeiro de 2000).
A Química e a Matemática do DNA Poliedros, Wen-yuan Qiu, Zé Wang, Guang Hu, Nova Ciência Pub Inc (julho de 2010).
Matemática da Estrutura, Função e Interações do DNA, Craig John Benham (editor), Springer; 1ª edição. edição (22 de setembro de 2009).
Matemática Matemática Genética: I. Introdução Teórica, Warren J. Ewens, Springer; Reimpressão de capa mole de capa dura 2ª ed. Edição de 2004 (29 de novembro de 2010).
25.- Matemáticas e Religião.
Matemática e Religião: Nossas Linguagens de Signo e Símbolo, Javier Leach, Templeton Press (1 de setembro de 2010).
Novas provas para a existência de Deus: Contribuições da Física e Filosofia Contemporânea, Robert J. Spitzer, Wm. B. Eerdmans Publishing Company (29 de junho de 2010).
Ciência e Religião: Uma Nova Introdução, Alister E. McGrath, Wiley-Blackwell; 2 edição (15 de dezembro de 2009).
26.- Matemáticas e Bases de Dados, SQL.
Matemática Aplicada para Profissionais de Banco de Dados, Lex de Haan, Apress; 1 edição (19 de junho de 2007).
A arte do SQL, Stephane Faroult, O'Reilly Media; 1 edição (1 de março de 2006).
Teoria SQL e Relacional: Como escrever código SQL preciso, C. J. Date, O'Reilly Media; 1 edição (30 de janeiro de 2009).
27.- Matemáticas e Ingenieras Civil.
Fórmulas de Engenharia Civil, Tyler Hicks, McGraw-Hill Professional; 2 edição (22 de outubro de 2009).
Manual Padrão para Engenheiros Civis (Manual), Jonathan Ricketts, Loftin M., McGraw-Hill Professional; 5 edição (29 de dezembro de 2003).
Fórmulas de Engenharia Estrutural, Ilya Mikhelson, McGraw-Hill Professional; 1 edição (23 de abril de 2004).
Fórmulas de Engenharia, Kurt Gieck, Reiner Gieck, McGraw-Hill Professional; 8 edição (5 de junho de 2006).
Manual de Cálculos de Engenharia Civil, Tyler Hicks, McGraw-Hill Professional; 2 edição (2 de maio de 2007).
Analisando a Incerteza na Engenharia Civil, Wolfgang Fellin (editor), Springer; Reimpressão de capa mole de capa dura 1ª ed. Edição de 2005 (16 de dezembro de 2010).
Análise Estrutural, Russell C. Hibbeler, Prentice Hall; 8 edição (7 de março de 2011).
Fundamentos de Análise Estrutural, Kenneth Leet, Chia-Ming Uang, Anne Gilbert, McGraw-Hill Ciência / Engenharia / Matemática; 4 edição (9 de setembro de 2010).
Materiais para Engenheiros Civis e de Construção, Michael S. Mamlouk, John P. Zaniewski, Prentice Hall; 3 edição (27 de fevereiro de 2010).
28. Matemáticas e Teoria de Cédigos.
Codificação de Correção de Erros: Métodos Matemáticos e Algoritmos, Todd K. Moon, Wiley-Interscience; 1 edição (6 de junho de 2005).
A matemática da teoria de codificação, Paul Garrett, Prentice Hall; 1 edição (29 de novembro de 2003).
Introdução à Teoria da Codificação, J. H. van Lint, Springer; 3a rev. e exp. ed. edição (28 de dezembro de 1998).
Introdução à Codificação e Teoria da Informação, Steven Roman, Springer; 1 edição (26 de novembro de 1996).
Teoria da Informação e Codificação, Robert J. McEliece, Cambridge University Press; 2ª edição (6 de maio de 2002).
29.- Matemávias y Ajedrez.
Matemática e Xadrez, Miodrag Petkovic, Dover Publications (2 de novembro de 2011).
Através da placa: Os problemas da matemática do tabuleiro de xadrez, John J. Watkins, imprensa da Universidade de Princeton (16 de abril de 2007).
Os Mistérios de Xadrez de Sherlock Holmes: Cinquenta Tantalizando Problemas de Detecção de Xadrez, Raymond M. Smullyan, Dover Publications (19 de janeiro de 2012).
30.- Matemáticas e Políticas.
Teoria dos Jogos Políticos: Uma Introdução, Nolan McCarty, Cambridge University Press; 1 edição (8 de janeiro de 2007).
Teoria dos Jogos para Cientistas Políticos, James D. Morrow, Princeton University Press (29 de novembro de 1994).
Matemática e Política: Estratégia, Votação, Poder e Prova, Alan Taylor, Springer; 2ª edição (5 de setembro de 2008).
31.- Matemáticas e Elecciones.
Numbers Rule: The Vexing Mathematics of Democracy, de Platão ao Presente, George G. Szpiro, Princeton University Press; Primeira edição (15 de março de 2010).
Procedimentos de votação sob incerteza, Hannu Nurmi, Springer; 1 edição (5 de agosto de 2002).
Eleições caóticas! Um matemático analisa a votação, Donald G. Saari, da American Mathematical Society (3 de abril de 2001).
Democracy Fair ?: A Matemática do Voto e Distribuição, Leslie Johnson Nielsen, Michael de Villiers, Key Curriculum Press; 1a edição (1997).
Geometria Básica de Votação, Donald G. Saari, Springer; 1 edição (29 de janeiro de 2003).
Matemática e Democracia: Recentes Avanços nos Sistemas de Votação e Escolha Coletiva, Bruno Simeone (editor), Springer; Reimpressão de capa mole de capa dura 1ª ed. Edição de 2006 (24 de novembro de 2010).
Matemática e Democracia: Projetando Melhores Procedimentos de Votação e Divisão Justo, Steven J. Brams, Princeton University Press (17 de dezembro de 2007).
Escolha Social e a Matemática da Manipulação, Alan D. Taylor, Cambridge University Press (9 de maio de 2005).
A Matemática do Voto e das Eleições: uma abordagem prática, Jonathan K. Hodge (Autor), Richard E Kilma, Sociedade Americana de Matemática (20 de maio de 2005).
Matemática da Escolha Social: Votação, Remuneração e Divisão, Christoph Borgers, SIAM-Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (21 de dezembro de 2009).
32.- Matemáticas e o Universo.
A realidade oculta: universos paralelos e as leis profundas do Cosmos, Brian Greene, Knopf (25 de janeiro de 2011).
Números cósmicos: os números que definem nosso universo, James D. Stein, livros básicos (6 de setembro de 2011).
O Universo e o Teacup: A Matemática da Verdade e Beleza, K. C. Cole, Mariner Books; Edição não declarada (15 de abril de 1999).
A Nova Cebola Cósmica: Quarks e a Natureza do Universo, Frank Close, Taylor e Francis; Edição revisada (15 de dezembro de 2006).
Poesia do Universo: Uma Exploração Matemática do Cosmos, Robert Osserman, Âncora (15 de janeiro de 1996).
33.- Matemáticas e Ecologia.
Ecologia Numérica, volume 24, terceira edição, Pierre Legendre, Louis Legendre, Elsevier; 3 edição (26 de agosto de 2012).
Mapeamento de Distribuições de Espécies: Inferência e Predição Espacial, Janet Franklin, Cambridge University Press (8 de fevereiro de 2010).
Modelagem Hierárquica e Inferência em Ecologia: A Análise de Dados de Populações, Metapopulações e Comunidades, J. Andrew Royle, Robert M. Dorazio, Academic Press; 1 edição (17 de julho de 2008).
Ecologia Numérica com R (Uso R!), Daniel Borcard, François Gillet, Pierre Legendre, Springer; 1ª edição. edição (14 de janeiro de 2011).
Um Primário de Estatística Ecológica, Nicholas J. Gotelli, Aaron Ellison M, Sinauer Associates; 1 edição (1 de maio de 2004).
34.- Matemáticas e Conservação do Natal.
A matemática da manutenção do relvado, Nick Christians, Michael L. Agnew, Wiley; 4 edição (9 de janeiro de 2008).
35.- Matemáticas das Aviones.
Dinâmica de Aeronaves: Da Modelagem à Simulação, Marcello Napolitano, Wiley; 1 edição (15 de novembro de 2011).
36.- Matemávticas, Geofísica e Geologia.
A Terra Sólida: Uma Introdução à Geofísica Global, C. M. R. Fowler, da Cambridge University Press; 2 edição (20 de dezembro de 2004).
Geodinâmica, Donald L. Turcotte, Gerald Schubert, Cambridge University Press; 2 edição (25 de março de 2002).
Física da Terra, Frank D. Stacey, Cambridge University Press; 4 edição (22 de setembro de 2008).
Fractals in the Earth Sciences, C. C. Barton, P. R. La Pointe, Springer; 1 edição (28 de fevereiro de 1995).
37.- Matemáticas para grávidas por computador.
Álgebra Geométrica para Computação Gráfica, John A. Vince, Springer; Reimpressão de capa mole de capa dura 1ª ed. Edição de 2008 (5 de novembro de 2010).
Álgebra Geométrica para Ciência da Computação (Edição Revisada): Uma Abordagem Orientada a Objetos à Geometria, Leo Dorst, Daniel Fontijne, Stephen Mann, Morgan Kaufmann; 1 edição (6 de abril de 2007).
Álgebra Geométrica: Um Sistema Algébrico para Jogos de Computador e Animação, John A. Vince, Springer; 1 edição (8 de julho de 2009).
Matemática para Computação Gráfica (Tópicos de Graduação em Ciência da Computação), John A. Vince, Springer; 3 ed. edição (16 de fevereiro de 2010).
Geometria Computacional: Algoritmos e Aplicações, Mark de Berg, Otfried Cheong, Marc van Kreveld, Mark Overmars, Springer; 3ª edição (16 de abril de 2008).
Geometria computacional em C, Joseph O'Rourke, Cambridge University Press; 2 edição (13 de outubro de 1998).
Geometria computacional: uma introdução, Franco P. Preparata, Michael Ian Shamos, Springer (23 de agosto de 1985).
Geometria Algorítmica, Jean-Daniel Boissonnat, Cambridge University Press (13 de março de 1998).
Visualização e Matemática III, Hans-Christian Hege (Editor), Springer; 1 edição (13 de agosto de 2003).
38.- Matemáticas e Filosofia.
A Filosofia da Matemática: Um Ensaio Introdutório, Stephan Korner, Dover Publications (19 de fevereiro de 2009).
Introdução à Filosofia Matemática, Bertrand Russell, Dover Publications (14 de setembro de 1993).
Filosofia da Matemática: Leituras Selecionadas, Paul Benacerraf (Editor), Cambridge University Press; 2 edição (27 de janeiro de 1984).
Filosofia da Matemática: Uma Introdução, David Bostock, Wiley-Blackwell; 1 edição (17 de março de 2009).
Pensando em Matemática: A Filosofia da Matemática, Stewart Shapiro, Oxford University Press, EUA; Edição da 1ª edição (5 de outubro de 2000).
The Oxford Handbook of Philosophy of Mathematics and Logic, Stewart Shapiro, Oxford University Press, EUA (4 de junho de 2007).
Filosofia da Matemática: Estrutura e Ontologia, Stewart Shapiro, Oxford University Press, EUA (28 de setembro de 2000).
Mais precisamente: A matemática que você precisa fazer filosofia, Eric Steinhart, Broadview Press; 1 edição (29 de janeiro de 2009).
Lógica para a Filosofia, Theodore Sider, Oxford University Press, EUA (7 de março de 2010).
39.- Matemáticas e Agua.
Matemática Aplicada para Conjunto de Operadores de Plantas Aquáticas, Joanne K. Price, CRC Press; Edição de pasta de trabalho (28 de fevereiro de 2000).
Matemática Aplicada para Operadores de Plantas de Efluentes, Joanne K. Price, CRC Press; 1 edição (1991).
Matemática para operadores de tratamento de água, John Giorgi, American Waterworks Association (15 de fevereiro de 2007).
Matemática para Operadores de Sistemas de Distribuição, John Giorgi, American Waterworks Association; 1 edição (13 de março de 2007).
Matemática Aplicada em Engenharia Hidráulica: Uma Introdução às Equações Diferenciais Não Lineares, Kazumasa Mizumura, Editora Científica Mundial (26 de maio de 2011).
40.- Matemáticas e Las Bolsas de Valores.
Lucrando com o Caos: Usando a Teoria do Caos para Market Timing, Seleção de Ações e Avaliação de Opções, Tonis Vaga, McGraw-Hill (Dezembro de 1994).
O Mercado de Ações: Entendendo e Aplicando Índices, Decimais, Frações e Porcentagens, Orli Zuravicky, PowerKids Press (janeiro de 2005).
Análise Técnica de Tendências de Estoque, Robert D. Edwards, John Magee, W. H.C. Bassetti, AMACOM; 9ª edição (26 de fevereiro de 2007).
Análise Técnica dos Mercados Financeiros: Um Guia Abrangente sobre Métodos de Negociação e Aplicações, John J. Murphy, Instituto de Finanças de Nova York (4 de janeiro de 1999).
Modelagem econométrica de atividades intradia no mercado de ações, Luc Bauwens, Pierre Giot, Springer; 1ª edição (15 de janeiro de 2001).
Advanced Trading Rules, segunda edição, Emmanual Acar (editor), Butterworth-Heinemann; 2ª edição (19 de junho de 2002).
Princípios de Engenharia Financeira, Segunda Edição, Salih N. Neftci, Academic Press; 2 edição (15 de dezembro de 2008).
41.- Matemáticas e Periodismo.
Ferramentas Matemáticas para Jornalistas: Versão do Estudante, Kathleen Woodruff Wickham, Marion Street Press, LLC; 2ª edição (1 de março de 2003).
Trabalhando com números e estatísticas: um manual para jornalistas, Charles Livingston, Paul S. Voakes, Routledge (abril de 2005).
42.- Matemáticas para Não-Matemáticos.
Matemática para o Nonmathematician, Morris Kline, Dover Publications (01 de fevereiro de 1985).
A Linguagem da Matemática: Tornando o Invisível Visível, Keith Devlin, Holt Paperbacks (13 de março de 2000).
43.- Matemáticas e Relatividad.
A Matemática da Relatividade para o Resto de Nós, Louis Jagerman M. D., Trafford Publishing (23 de fevereiro de 2001).
A Teoria da Relatividade de Einstein: Uma Viagem à Quarta Dimensão, Lillian R. Paul Livros Secos; 1ª edição do Paul Dry Books Ed (1 de outubro de 2008).
Relatividade Geral, N. M.J. Woodhouse, Springer; 3ª impressão. edição (15 de novembro de 2006).
Relatividade Especial, N. M.J. Woodhouse, Springer (2 de abril de 2007).
Tensores: A Matemática da Teoria da Relatividade e Mecânica do Continuum, Anadi Jiban Das, Springer; Reimpressão de capa mole de capa dura 1ª ed. Edição de 2007 (29 de outubro de 2010).
A geometria do espaço-tempo de Minkowski: uma introdução à matemática da teoria da relatividade especial, Gregory L. Naber, Springer; Reimpressão de capa mole de capa dura 2ª ed. Edição de 2011 (1 de dezembro de 2010).
44.- Matemáticas e sua Historia.
Uma História da Matemática, Carl B. Boyer, Uta C. Merzbach, Wiley; 3 edição (11 de janeiro de 2011).
Matemática: Do Nascimento dos Números, Jan Gullberg, W. W. Norton & Company; Primeira edição (março de 1997).
História da Matemática, Victor J. Katz, Addison Wesley; 3 edição (12 de julho de 2008).
Uma História Concisa da Matemática: Quarta Edição Revisada, Dirk J. Struik, Dover Publications; 4 Rev Sub edição (1 de agosto de 1987).
Matemática e sua história, John Stillwell, Springer; 3 ed. edição (2 de agosto de 2010).
45.- Matemávias y el Cine.
Math vai para os filmes, Burkard Polster, Marty Ross, a Johns Hopkins University Press (19 de maio de 2012).
46.- Recreativas Matemáticas.
Resolução de Problemas Através da Matemática Recreativa, Bonnie Averbach, Orin Chein, Dover Publications (27 de maio de 1999).
Tópicos em Matemática Recreativa, J. H. Cadwell, Cambridge University Press; 1 edição (11 de janeiro de 2009).
Ginástica Mental: Quebra-cabeças de Matemática Recreativa, Dick Hess, Dover Publications (16 de junho de 2011).
Matemática, Magia e Mistério, Martin Gardner, Dover Publications; Primeira edição (1 de junho de 1956).
Recreações Matemáticas: Segunda Edição Revisada, Maurice Kraitchik, Dover Publications; 2 Edição revisada (17 de novembro de 2006).
The Moscow Puzzles: 359 Recreações Matemáticas, Boris A. Kordemsky, Dover Publications (10 de abril de 1992).
Enigma Matemático, A. Gardiner, Dover Publications (14 de dezembro de 2011).
O Livro Mestre de Recreações Matemáticas, Fred Schuh, Dover Publications (30 de novembro de 2011).
47.- Matemáticas e la Cocina profesional.
Matemática para a cozinha profissional, The Culinary Institute of America, Wiley; 1 edição (6 de setembro de 2011).
Cálculos Culinários: Matemática Simplificada para Profissionais Culinários, Terri Jones, Wiley; 2 edição (10 de março de 2008).
Matemática Culinária, Linda Blocker, Julia Hill, Wiley; 3ª edição, revista e expandida edição (4 de setembro de 2007).
48.- Matemáticas e os Temblores.
A matemática das catástrofes naturais, G. Woo, Gordon Woo, editora científica mundial; 1ª edição (15 de dezembro de 1999).
A Mecânica dos Terremotos e Falhas, Christopher H. Scholz, da Cambridge University Press; 2 edição (27 de maio de 2002).
Sismologia Quantitativa, Keeiti Aki, Paul G. Richards, Livros Universitários de Ciências; Segunda edição (25 de março de 2009).
Processos Terremoto: Modelagem Física, Simulação Numérica e Análise de Dados: Parte I, Parte II, Mitsuhiro Matsu'ura (Editor), Birkhändler Basel; 1 edição (11 de novembro de 2002).
Análise Avançada de Engenharia Sísmica, Alain Pecker, Springer; 1 edição (12 de outubro de 2007).
Conceitos Fundamentais da Engenharia Sísmica, Roberto Villaverde, CRC Press; 1 edição (16 de janeiro de 2009).
Earthshaking Science: O que sabemos (e não sabemos) sobre os terremotos, Susan Hough, Princeton University Press (22 de março de 2004).
Engenharia Geotécnica de Terremotos, Steven L. Kramer, Prentice Hall; 1 edição (7 de janeiro de 1996).
49.- Matemáticas e o Calentamiento Global.
Aquecimento do Mundo: Modelos Econômicos do Aquecimento Global, William D. Nordhaus, Joseph Boyer, The MIT Press (11 de agosto de 2003).
Modelação da variabilidade climática oceânica, Artem S. Sarkisyan, Jürgen Sündermann, Springer; 1 edição (28 de maio de 2009).
50.- Matemáticas e SIDA.
Modelos deterministas e estocásticos de epidemias de aids e infecções por HIV com intervenção, Tan Wai-Yuan, Hulin Wu, Companhia Científica Mundial (30 de julho de 2005).
Análise Estatística e Modelagem Matemática da AIDS, J. C. Jager (Editor), Oxford University Press, EUA (22 de dezembro de 1988).
Dinâmica de vírus: Princípios matemáticos de imunologia e virologia, Martin A. Nowak, Robert May, Oxford University Press, EUA (25 de janeiro de 2001).
Modelagem Estocástica da Epidemiologia da AIDS e Patogênese do HIV, Tan Wai-Yuan, World Scientific Pub Co Inc (outubro de 2000).
Estatística em Epidemiologia: Métodos, Técnicas e Aplicações, Hardeo Sahai, Anwer Khurshid, CRC-Press; 1 edição (1 de fevereiro de 1996).
51.- Matemáticas e a predicção do Tempo.
Previsão de eventos meteorológicos: Abordagem matemática, N. C. Mahanti, da Alpha Science International, Ltd (janeiro de 2005).
Meteorologia e Previsão de Mesoescala, Peter S. Ray, Sociedade Americana de Meteorologia (1 de janeiro de 1986).
Análise Meteorológica, Dusan Djuric, Prentice Hall; Edição fac-símile (fevereiro de 1994).
Uma Introdução à Meteorologia Dinâmica, Volume 88, Quarta Edição, James R. Holton, Academic Press; 4 edição (14 de abril de 2004).
Ciências Atmosféricas, Segunda Edição: Uma Pesquisa Introdutória, John M. Wallace, John Michael Wallace, Peter V. Hobbs, Imprensa Acadêmica; 2 edição (15 de fevereiro de 2006).
52.- Matemávies y el nъmero Бureo.
A proporção áurea: a história da PHI, o número mais surpreendente do mundo, Scott Olsen, Scott Olson, Walker & Company; Primeira edição impressa (17 de outubro de 2006).
A Seção Áurea: O Maior Segredo da Natureza, Alfred S. Posamentier, Ingmar Lehmann, Primeira edição impressa (17 de outubro de 2006)
A Relação Dourada Gloriosa, Dusan Djuric, Prometheus Books (22 de novembro de 2011).
A Proporção Áurea e os Números de Fibonacci, Richard A. Dunlap, R. A. Dunlap, World Scientific Publishing Company (Dezembro de 1997).
O Retorno da Arquitetura Sagrada: A Proporção Áurea e o Fim do Modernismo, Herbert Bangs M. Arch, Tradições Internas (25 de novembro de 2006).
A Proporção Áurea, Keith Flynn, Iris Press (15 de fevereiro de 2007).
53.- Matemávies y el Cáncer.
Cancer Modeling , J. R. Thompson, Informa Healthcare; 1 edition (August 31, 1987).
Computational Biology of Cancer: Lecture Notes and Mathematical Modeling, Dominik Wodarz , Natalia Komarova , World Scientific Publishing Company (January 2005).
Handbook of Cancer Models with Applications, Wai-Yuan Tan (Editor), Birkhдuser Boston; 1 edition (September 25, 2008).
Selected Topics in Cancer Modeling: Genesis, Evolution, Immune Competition, and Therapy , Nicola Bellomo (Editor), R. A. Dunlap, World Scientific Publishing Company (December 1997).
Cancer Modelling and Simulation, Luigi Preziosi , CRC Press; 1 edition (June 18, 2003).
54.- Matemбticas y el Cerebro.
Dynamical Systems in Neuroscience: The Geometry of Excitability and Bursting, Eugene M. Izhikevich, The MIT Press (January 22, 2010).
Theoretical Neuroscience: Computational and Mathematical Modeling of Neural Systems , Peter Dayan , Laurence F. Abbott, The MIT Press; 1 edition (September 1, 2005).
Mathematical Foundations of Neuroscience , G. Bard Ermentrout, David H. Terman, Springer; 1ª edição. edition (July 8, 2010).
55.- Matemбticas y Robots.
Geometric Fundamentals of Robotics, J. M. Selig, Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 2nd ed. 2005 edition (November 25, 2010).
Design and Control of Intelligent Robotic Systems , Dikai Liu (Editor),Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2009 edition (December 8, 2010).
Distributed Control of Robotic Networks: A Mathematical Approach to Motion Coordination Algorithms , Francesco Bullo, Jorge Cortes , Princeton University Press (July 6, 2009).
Algorithmic and Computational Robotics: New Directions , Bruce Donald (Editor), A K Peters/CRC Press (April 21, 2001).
Human-Like Biomechanics: A Unified Mathematical Approach to Human Biomechanics and Humanoid Robotics, Vladimir G. Ivancevic, Tijana T. Ivancevic, Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2006 edition (November 25, 2010).
A Mathematical Introduction to Robotic Manipulation , Richard M. Murray , Zexiang Li , S. Shankar Sastry , S. Shankara Sastry , CRC Press; 1 edition (March 22, 1994).
56.- Matemбticas y Procesamiento de Imбgenes.
Handbook of Mathematical Models in Computer Vision, Nikos Paragios (Editor), Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2006 edition (October 29, 2010).
Mathematical Problems in Image Processing: Partial Differential Equations and the Calculus of Variations , Gilles Aubert, Pierre Kornprobst , Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 2nd ed. 2006 edition (November 19, 2010).
Algorithms for Image Processing and Computer Vision, J. R. Parker, Wiley; 2 edition (December 21, 2010).
57.- Matemбticas y Computaciуn Cuбntica.
Quantum Computing, Mika Hirvensalo, Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 2nd ed. 2004 edition (December 1, 2010).
An Introduction to Quantum Computing , Phillip Kaye, Raymond Laflamme , Michele Mosca , Oxford University Press, USA; 1 edition (January 18, 2007).
Quantum Computing for Computer Scientists, Noson S. Yanofsky , Mirco A. Mannucci, Cambridge University Press; 1 edition (August 11, 2008).
58.- Matemбticas y las Novelas.
An Invisible Sign of My Own: A Novel , Aimee Bender, Anchor (July 17, 2001).
The Bishop Murder Case, S. S. Van Dine, Amereon Ltd (June 1983).
The Fractal Murders, Mark Cohen, Grand Central Publishing (July 1, 2005).
Digital Fortress, Dan Brown, St. Martin's Press (1998).
59.- Matemбticas e Internet.
The Mathematics of Internet Congestion Control , Rayadurgam Srikant, Birkhдuser Boston; 1 edition (December 12, 2003).
60.- Matemбticas y Economнa.
Fundamental Methods of Mathematical Economics , Kevin Wainwright, McGraw-Hill/Irwin; 4 edition (October 2004).
Further Mathematics for Economic Analysis, Knut Sydsaeter, Peter Hammond, Atle Seierstad, Prentice Hall; 2 edition (December 14, 2008).
Real Analysis with Economic Applications , Efe A. Ok, Princeton University Press (January 2, 2007).
Theory of Value: An Axiomatic Analysis of Economic Equilibrium , Gerard Debreu, Yale University Press (September 10, 1972).
Game Theory: Analysis of Conflict , Roger B. Myerson , Harvard University Press (September 15, 1997).
Advanced Microeconomic Theory, Geoffrey A. Jehle , Prentice Hall; 3 edition (April 30, 2011).
61.- Matemбticas y Misiles .
Advances in Missile Guidance Theory , J. Ben-Asher , AIAA; Har/Dskt edition (January 1, 1998).
Tactical and Strategic Missile Guidance, Fifth Edition, P. Zarchan, AIAA; 5th edition (January 1, 2007).
Modern Missile Guidance , Rafael Yanushevsky, CRC Press (September 20, 2007).
Missile Guidance and Control Systems , George M. Siouris, Springer; 1 edition (March 9, 2004).
Missile Guidance and Pursuit: Kinematics, Dynamics and Control , N. A. Shneydor , Woodhead Publishing; Reprint edition (January 28, 1998).
Modeling and Simulation of Aerospace Vehicle Dynamics, Second Edition, P. Zipfel , AIAA; 2 edition (April 15, 2007).
Automatic Control of Aircraft and Missiles , John H. Blakelock, Wiley-Interscience; 2 edition (January 18, 1991).
Aircraft Control and Simulation , Brian L. Stevens, Frank L. Lewis , Wiley-Interscience; 2 edition (October 6, 2003).
Atmospheric and Space Flight Dynamics: Modeling and Simulation with MATLAB® and Simulink®, Ashish Tewari , Birkhдuser Boston; 1 edition (May 8, 2007).
62.- Matemбticas y Seguros .
Actuarial Models: The Mathematics of Insurance, Vladimir I. Rotar, Chapman and Hall/CRC; 1 edition (September 20, 2006).
Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics , S. David Promislow, Wiley; 2 edition (February 15, 2011).
Modern Actuarial Theory and Practice, Second Edition, Philip Booth, Chapman and Hall/CRC; 2 edition (December 28, 2004).
Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Insurance and Finance , Cira Perna (Editor), Springer; 1 edition (December 14, 2007).
63.- Matemбticas y Anбlisis Forence.
Essential Mathematics and Statistics for Forensic Science, Craig Adam, Wiley; 1 edition (June 1, 2010).
Introduction to Statistics for Forensic Scientists, David Lucy, Wiley; 1 edition (January 16, 2006).
Data Analysis in Forensic Science: A Bayesian Decision Perspective , Prof Franco Taroni, Wiley; 1 edition (May 25, 2010).
64.- Matemбticas y Enfermerнa.
Medications and Mathematics for the Nurse, Jane Rice, Delmar Cengage Learning; 9 edition (August 22, 2001).
The Mathematics of Drugs and Solutions with Clinical Applications, Judith K. Richardson RN MS, Lloyd I. Richardson PhD, Mosby; 5 edition (December 1, 1993).
Math for Nurses: A Pocket Guide to Dosage Calculation and Drug Preparation , Mary Jo Boyer RN PhD, Lippincott Williams & Wilkins; Seventh edition (June 1, 2010).
Math For Pharmacy Technicians , Lorraine Zentz, Jones & Bartlett Learning; 1 edition (September 15, 2009).
APhA's Complete Math Review for the Pharmacy Technician , William A. Hopkins , APhA Publications; 2 edition (July 20, 2005).
65.- Matemбticas y Nutriciуn.
Mathematical Modeling in Nutrition and the Health Sciences, Janet A. Novotny, Michael H. Green , Ray C. Boston, Springer; 1 edition (October 31, 2003).
Mathematical Modeling in Experimental Nutrition: Vitamins, Proteins, Methods, Volume 40 , Stephen P. Coburn (editor), Academic Press; 1 edition (October 16, 1996).
66.- Matemбticas y Agricultura.
Mathematics for Agriculture (2nd Edition), Betty C. Rogers , Prentice Hall; 2 edition (September 25, 1999).
Mathematical Applications in Agriculture , Nina H. Mitchell, Delmar Cengage Learning; 1 edition (December 4, 2003).
An Introduction To Mathematics - With Applications To Science And Agriculture, Isaiah Leslie Miller , Mellon Press (March 15, 2007).
67.- Matemбticas y Negocios.
Business Mathematics, Gary Clendenen , Stanley A. Salzman, Addison Wesley; 12 edition (January 24, 2011).
Business Mathematics , Nelda R. Roueche , Virginia Graves , Michael D. Tuttle , Prentice Hall; 9 edition (January 1, 2005).
Business Mathematics, Cheryl Cleaves , Margie Hobbs , Jeffrey Noble , Prentice Hall; 9 edition (January 22, 2011).
Mathematics for Business, Stanley A. Salzman , Charles D. Miller , Gary Clendenenn, Addison Wesley; 9 edition (January 13, 2010).
Essential Mathematics for Economics and Business , Teresa Bradley, Wiley; 3 edition (July 15, 2008).
Mathematics for Economics and Business Jean Soper, Wiley-Blackwell; 2 edition (May 31, 2004).
68.- Matemбticas y Mercadeo.
Quantitative Models in Marketing Research, Philip Hans Franses , Cambridge University Press; Reprint edition (June 10, 2010).
Social Media Marketing: Game Theory and the Emergence of Collaboration, , Eric Anderson , Springer; 1ª edição. edition (August 10, 2010).
Statistics for Marketing and Consumer Research, Mario Mazzocchi, Sage Publications Ltd (June 5, 2008).
Differential Games in Marketing, Steffen Jшrgensen , Springer; 1 edition (November 30, 2003).
Bayesian Statistics and Marketing , Peter E. Rossi , Greg M. Allenby, Rob McCulloch , Wiley; 1 edition (January 16, 2006).
69.- Matemбticas y el Ambiente.
Mathematics for the Environment, Martin Walter , Chapman and Hall/CRC; 1 edition (January 18, 2011).
70.- Matemбticas y la Guerra.
Military Operations Research: Quantitative Decision Making , N. K. Jaiswal, Springer; 1 edition (February 28, 1997).
An Uneasy Alliance: The Mathematics Research Center At the University of Wisconsin , Jagdish Chandra , Stephen M. Robinson , Society for Industrial Mathematics (December 29, 2004).
Military Applications of Modeling: Selected Case Studies , F. P. Hoeber, Routledge; New edition edition (January 1, 1981).
Operational Logistics: The Art and Science of Sustaining Military Operations, Moshe Kress , Springer; 1 edition (June 2002).
Combat Modeling , Alan Washburn , Springer; 1 edition (August 26, 2009).
Mathematical Methods in Defense Analyses, Air Force Institute of Technology J. Przemieniecki , AIAA; 3rd edition (January 1, 2000).
The Fundamentals of Aircraft Combat Survivability Analysis and Design, Second Edition , Robert E. Ball , AIAA (American Institute of Aeronautics & Ast; 2nd edition (August 2003).
Mathematics and War, Bernhelm BooЯ-Bavnbek (Editor),Birkhдuser Basel; 1 edition (November 13, 2003).
71.- Matemбticas y sus Profesiones.
101 Careers in Mathematics - Second Edition, Andrew Sterrett Jr., Mathematical Assn of Amer; 2 edition (January 3, 2003).
72.- Matemбticas contra el Bioterrorismo.
Bioterrorism: Mathematical Modeling Applications in Homeland Security, H. T. Banks (Editor), Society for Industrial Mathematics; 1 edition (January 1, 1987).
73.- Matemбticas y el Бtomo de Hidrуgeno.
Linearity, Symmetry, and Prediction in the Hydrogen Atom , Stephanie Frank Singer, Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2005 edition (December 1, 2010).
74.- Matemбticas y el Petrуleo.
Reservoir Simulation: Mathematical Techniques in Oil Recovery, Zhangxin Chen, Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (October 31, 2007).
The Mathematics of Reservoir Simulation, Richard E. Ewing, Society for Industrial Mathematics (January 1, 1987).
2nd European Conference on the Mathematics of Oil Recovery: Proceedings of Presentations Held in Arles, France, September 11-14, 1990, Dominique Guerillot , Editions Technip (September 1991).
Intelligent Systems in Oil Field Development under Uncertainty , Marco A. C. Pacheco (Editor), Springer; 1 edition (April 27, 2009).
Reservoir Simulation: Mathematical Techniques in Oil Recovery, Zhangxin Chen, Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (October 31, 2007).
The Mathematics of Oil Recovery, P. R. King (Editor), Oxford University Press, USA (March 12, 1992).
Mathematics in Oil Production, Sir Sam Edwards (Editor), Oxford University Press, USA (January 26, 1989).
75.- Matemбticas y Humor.
Math Jokes 4 Mathy Folks, G. Patrick Vennebush, Robert Reed Publishers (August 9, 2010).
Twenty Years Before the Blackboard: The Lessons and Humor of a Mathematics Teacher, Michael Stueben, Diane Sandford, The Mathematical Association of America (September 17, 1998).
Mathematics and Humor: A Study of the Logic of Humor, John Allen Paulos, University Of Chicago Press (November 15, 1982).
76.- Matemбticas y Cultura.
matematica e cultura, Michele Emmer (editor), Springer; 1 edition (March 24, 2006).
Mathematics, Art, Technology and Cinema , Michele Emmer (Editor), Springer; 1 edition (September 10, 2003).
77.- Matemбticas y Caricaturas.
Donald in Mathmagic Land, DVD, Walt Disney .
Disney's Learning Adventures - Mickey's Reading Math and Fun - Mickey and the Beanstalk, DVD, Buena Vista Home Entertainment / Disney.
The Cartoon Guide to Calculus , Larry Gonick , William Morrow Paperbacks; Original edition (December 27, 2011).
Cartoon Guide to Statistics , Larry Gonick , Woollcott Smith, Collins Reference; 1 edition (July 14, 1993).
Comic-Strip Math: Problem Solving: 80 Reproducible Cartoons With Dozens and Dozens of Story Problems That Motivate Students and Build Essential Math Skills, Dan Greenberg, Scholastic Teaching Resources (Teaching (January 1, 2010).
78.- Matemбticas y Origamic.
Mathematics Through Paper Folding , Alton T. Olson, National Council of Teachers of Mathematics (December 1, 1975).
Origamics: Mathematical Explorations Through Paper Folding, Kazuo Haga, Josefina C. Fonacier, Masami Isoda, World Scientific Publishing Company (September 11, 2008).
Origami Tessellations: Awe-Inspiring Geometric Designs, Eric Gjerde, A K Peters/CRC Press (December 2008).
Origami Design Secrets: Mathematical Methods for an Ancient Art, Robert J. Lang, AK Peters (November 1, 2003).
Project Origami: Activities for Exploring Mathematics, Thomas C. Hull , A K Peters, Ltd. (March 11, 2006).
Unfolding Mathematics with Unit Origami , Betsy Franco, Key Curriculum Press; 1st edition (December 15, 1999).
79.- Matemбticas y Biometrнas.
Biometric Recognition: Challenges and Opportunities , Whither Biometrics Committee, National Academies Press (November 16, 2010).
Biometric Authentication: A Machine Learning Approach , S. Y. Kung, M. W. Mak, S. H. Lin , Prentice Hall; 1 edition (September 24, 2004).
Face Biometrics for Personal Identification: Multi-Sensory Multi-Modal Systems, Riad Hammoud (Editor),Springer; 1 edition (March 12, 2007).
Biometric Inverse Problems, Svetlana N. Yanushkevich, CRC Press; 1 edition (May 5, 2005).
Handbook of Face Recognition, Stan Z. Li (Editor), Springer; 2ª edição. edition (August 31, 2011).
Introduction to Biometrics , Anil K. Jain, Arun A. Ross , Karthik Nandakumar, Springer; 2011 edition (November 17, 2011).
Handbook of Biometrics , Anil K. Jain (Editor),Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2008 edition (November 4, 2010).
Biometric Systems: Technology, Design and Performance Evaluation , James L. Wayman (Editor), Springer; 1ª edição. edition (December 16, 2004).
Handbook of Fingerprint Recognition, Davide Maltoni, Springer; 2ª ed. 2009 edition (June 12, 2009).
80.- Matemбticas en la Prehistoria.
Mathematical Footprints: Discovering Mathematics Everywhere, Theoni Pappas, Wide World Publishing, Tetra (January 4, 2000).
81.- Matemбticas y Plagas.
Dynamic Modeling of Diseases and Pests, Bruce Hannon, Matthias Ruth , Springer; 1 edition (October 20, 2008).
82.- Matemбticas para Adultos.
Adults' Mathematical Thinking and Emotions: A Study of Numerate Practice, Jeff Evans , Routledge; 1 edition (December 28, 2000).
Perspectives on Adults Learning Mathematics: Research and Practice , D. Coben (Editor), Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2000 edition (December 10, 2010).
Understanding Maths: Basic Mathematics for Adults Explained , Graham Lawler, Studymates Ltd; 2 Revised edition (August 2003).
83.- Matemбticas para el Consumidor de diario.
Consumer Mathematics , Kathleen M. Harmeyer, Ags Pub (June 2001).
Contemporary Mathematics for Business and Consumers, Robert Brechner, South-Western College Pub; 6 edition (February 28, 2011).
Power Basics Consumer Mathematics , Taggart, Walch, J Weston Walch (June 30, 2006).
84.- Matemбticas y la Loteria.
The Mathematics of Lottery: Odds, Combinations, Systems, Catalin Barboianu, Infarom; 2 edition (March 18, 2010).
85.- Matemбticas y BlackJack.
Risk and Reward: The Science of Casino Blackjack, N. Richard Werthamer, Springer; 1 edition (July 13, 2009).
PROBABILITY GUIDE TO GAMBLING: The Mathematics of Dice, Slots, Roulette, Baccarat, Blackjack, Poker, Lottery and Sport Bets, Catalin Barboianu, INFAROM (August 26, 2006).
The Theory of Blackjack: The Compleat Card Counter's Guide to the Casino Game of 21 , Peter A. Griffin, Huntington Press; 6th edition (February 1999).
Beat the Dealer: A Winning Strategy for the Game of Twenty-One, Edward O. Thorp, Vintage; Revised edition (April 12, 1966).
86.- Matemбticas y Carreras de Caballos.
Precision: Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Horse Racing, C X Wong, Outskirts Press (March 28, 2011).
87.- Matemбticas y la ruleta.
Roulette Odds and Profits: The Mathematics of Complex Bets, Catalin Barboianu, INFAROM (January 11, 2008).
88.- Matemбticas y la Electrуnica.
Electronics and Computer Math , Bill R. Deem , Tony Zannini , Prentice Hall; 8 edition (July 23, 2005).
89.- Matemбticas y Fisiologнa.
Mathematical Physiology: I: Cellular Physiology , James Keener , James Sneyd , Springer; 2nd edition (October 27, 2008).
Mathematical Physiology: II: Systems Physiology , James Keener , James Sneyd , Springer; 2nd edition (October 27, 2008).
90.- Matemбticas para la Industria.
Mathematics for Industry: Challenges and Frontiers. A Process View: Practice and Theory, David R. Ferguson (Editor), SIAM Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (September 15, 2005).
Applied and Industrial Mathematics, Venice-2, 1998, Renato Spigler(Editor), Springer; 1 edition (January 1, 2000).
91.- Matemбticas y Mecбnica.
Trends in Applications of Mathematics to Mechanics , Gerard Iooss (Editor), Chapman and Hall/CRC; 1 edition (October 22, 1999).
92.- Matemбticas y Combustiуn.
Recent Advances in Combustion Modelling , B. Larrouturou (Editor), World Scientific Pub Co Inc (March 1991).
Mathematical Problems from Combustion Theory , Jerrold Bebernes, David Eberly, Springer; 1 edition (August 25, 1989).
Lectures on Mathematical Combustion , J. D. Buckmaster, G. S. S. Ludford, Society for Industrial Mathematics (January 1, 1987).
93.- Matemбticas y Tomografнa.
The Mathematics of Computerized Tomography, Frank Natterer, SIAM: Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (July 2001).
Principles of Computerized Tomographic Imaging , Aninash C. Kak, Malcolm Slaney, Society for Industrial Mathematics (July 1, 2001).
The Radon Transform and Some of Its Applications , Stanley R. Deans, Dover Publications (October 19, 2007).
The Mathematics of Medical Imaging: A Beginner's Guide , Timothy G. Feeman, Springer; 1ª edição. edition (December 1, 2009).
94.- Matemбticas y Demografнa.
Applied Mathematical Demography, N. Keyfitz, Hal Caswell, Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 3rd ed. 2005 edition (November 25, 2010).
Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes , Samuel Preston , Patrick Heuveline , Michel Guillot, Wiley-Blackwell; 1 edition (September 18, 2000).
Statistical Demography and Forecasting , Juha Alho, Bruce Spencer, Springer; 1 edition (July 1, 2005).
Matrix Population Models, Second Edition, Hal Caswell, Sinauer Associates, Inc.; UPDATED edition (March 27, 2006).
95.- Matemбticas y el sistema Cardiovascular y Respiratorio.
Cardiovascular and Respiratory Systems: Modeling, Analysis, and Control, Jerry J. Batzel, Franz Kappel, Daniel Schneditz , Hien T. Tran , SIAM, Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (December 12, 2006).
Applied Mathematical Models in Human Physiology , Johnny T. Ottesen, Mette S. Olufsen, Jesper K. Larsen , SIAM: Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics; 1 edition (February 1, 2004).
96.- Matemбticas y Geociencia.
Mathematical Geoscience , Andrew Fowler, SIAM, Springer; 1ª edição. edition (July 8, 2011).
Spherical Functions of Mathematical Geosciences: A Scalar, Vectorial, and Tensorial Setup, Willi Freeden, Michael Schreiner, Springer (December 2, 2008).
97.- Matemбticas y Cohetes Espaciales.
Applied Cartesian Tensors for Aerospace Simulations , David M. Henderson, AIAA (American Institute of Aeronautics & Ast (April 30, 2006).
98.- Matemбticas y Pilotos.
Applied Cartesian Tensors for Aerospace Simulations , David M. Henderson, AIAA (American Institute of Aeronautics & Ast (April 30, 2006).
Pilot's rules of thumb: Rules of thumb, easy aviation math, handy formulas, quick tips , Art Parma, Flight Time Pub; 1st edition (December 31, 1999).
Mental Math for Pilots, Ronald D. McElroy, Aviation Supplies & Academics, Inc.; 2nd edition (September 1, 2004).
Aerodynamics for Naval Aviators, Federal Aviation Administration, Aviation Supplies & Academics, Inc.; Last Revision: 1965 edition (September 1, 2001).
99.- Matemбticas y Automуviles.
Motor Vehicle Dynamics: Modeling and Simulation , Giancarlo Genta, World Scientific Pub Co Inc (March 1997).
Vehicle Dynamics: Theory and Application, G. Nakhaie Jazar , Springer; 1st ed. 2008. Corr. 3rd printing edition (March 19, 2008).
Race Car Vehicle Dynamics (R146) , William F. Milliken , Douglas L. Milliken , Society of Automotive Engineers Inc (August 1995).
Theory of Ground Vehicles, J. Y. Wong, Wiley; 4 edition (August 4, 2008).
The Automotive Chassis: Volume 1: Components Design , Giancarlo Genta, L. Morello, Springer; 1 edition (February 13, 2009).
The Automotive Chassis: Volume 2: System Design , Giancarlo Genta, L. Morello, Springer; 1 edition (February 13, 2009).
100.- Matemбticas e Histйresis.
Mathematical Models of Hysteresis and their Applications, Augusto Visintin, Springer; Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 1994 edition (December 9, 2010).
Differential Models of Hysteresis , G. Nakhaie Jazar , Springer; 1st ed. 2008. Corr. 3rd printing edition (March 19, 2008).
Magnetic Hysteresis , Edward Della Torre , Wiley-IEEE Press; 1 edition (October 8, 1998).
Hysteresis and Phase Transitions, Martin Brokate, Jьrgen Sprekels, Springer; 1 edition (June 20, 1996).
101.- Matemбticas y Contraterrorismo.
Statical Methods in Counterterrorism, Game theory, Gyndromic surveillance and Biometric authentication. Alyson G. Wilson, Gregory D. Wilson, David H. Olwell (Editors). Springer (2006).
Computational Methods for Counterterrorism. shlomo Argamon, Newton Howard (Editors) . Springer (2009).
Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism. Nasrullah Memon, Jonathan D. Farley, David L. Torben Rosenorm (Editors). Springer (2009).
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El mejor libro de trading del mundo.
No me he podido resistir a titular así este artículo porque, siendo sinceros, así lo pienso: Sell & sell short es el mejor libro de trading del mundo .
El libro Sell & sell short, de Alexander Elder, ha sido (y todavía es) el pilar base de mi formación. Después de leer esta obra, todo ha empezado a cobrar sentido, pues tiene la triple virtud de ser sencillo de leer, completísimo en contenidos e imprescindible para amueblar la cabeza.
Cualquiera que lleve un tiempo siguiendo las entradas de Novatos Trading Club, sabrá que soy fan del Dr. Alexander Elder por su estilo de trading y por sus excelentes publicaciones. Siendo honestos, no puedo dejar de recomendar todos y cada uno de sus libros, pues son todos de un gran valor, pero Sell & sell short es especial .
¿Pero por qué Sell & sell short es tan buen libro?
Es extremadamente completo . Se puede leer de principio a fin sin aburrirse . No sólo informa , sino que forma . Enseña sobre análisis técnico , mucho y bien. Forma sobre el control del riesgo , mejor que ningún otro libro que haya visto jamás. Te orienta hacia una correcta actitud y psicología en trading, que es algo de lo más importante y a la vez de lo más ignorado. También enseña sobre gestión del trading en general . Es reciente y sus contenidos son actuales (2008) con una segunda edición ampliada en 2011 . El autor se ha convertido en un gran escritor . Además, el autor es un excelente trader profesional . Específicamente, también enseña a ganar dinero en mercados bajistas .
El que lea este libro reconocerá en él muchas de las técnicas de trading aplicadas en Novatos Trading Club explicadas en profundidad y con buenos ejemplos.
Conviene destacar que Sell & sell short no es el libro que lanzó a la fama al señor Elder , sino que ha sido Trading for a living el que lo ha hecho a principio de los años 90.
Sin embargo, después de este primer gran éxito, Elder ha escrito varias obras, también de gran valor, para finalmente presentar Sell & vender a descoberto. En este punto, el Dr. Elder ya no sólo es un gran trader profesional sino que, además, también se ha convertido en un excelente escritor , lo que hace a este libro notablemente más ameno , completo, comprensible y útil que cualquiera de los anteriores (sin menospreciarlos).
Uno de los defectos habituales de los libros sobre trading es que sufren un grave compromiso: O son amenos o son útiles. Así que lo habitual es que los libros con un sólido y provechoso contenido sean absolutamente infumables, salvo que se utilicen como meros libros de consulta.
Por contra, los libros sobre trading que normalmente se pueden leer de principio a fin sólo contienen palabras vacías y generalidades que muy difícilmente se pueden aplicar a nuestra operativa del día a día.
Es por esto que Sell & sell short es una de las pocas honrosas excepciones. (Hay alguna más pero ya iremos hablando de ellas en otras ocasiones). Sell & sell short se puede leer de principio a fin sin problemas y, a la vez uno no para de aprender y ver constantemente en ejemplos lo recién aprendido. En caso de necesidad, la información está escrupulosamente estructurada, lo que también permite su consulta esporádica.
Por desgracia este libro todavía no se ha traducido del inglés, pero sin duda vale la pena leerlo en este idioma dado su enorme valor educativo. Si el inglés resulta una barrera absolutamente insalvable para ti, entonces la recomendación automática se convierte en Trading for a living, del mismo autor, que sí está traducido al español como Vivir del trading.
¿Ya has leído este libro? ¿Qué opinas de él? Anímate a dejar un comentario con tu opinión sobre esta gran obra .
16 Comentarios.
¿Es mejor que el "Análisis técnico de mercados financieros" de Murphy?
Obviamente, eso depende de cada uno y del tema en el que se centre. Como manual básico y no tan básico de trading, para mi, no tiene rival.
En mi caso, ha sido el libro que más y mejor me ha llevado por el buen camino.
Desde que lo estudié (y de vez en cuando sigo echándole un ojo), se acabó el caos y la sensación de no saber bien por dónde ir.
¿está en español? y si es así, me pones el enlace. Gracias
Gracias por la recomendación!
Actualmente estoy leyendo “Vivir del trading” y también puedo ver en el las características que explicas en el artículo.
Tomo nota para el futuro próximo!
lo siento pero no comparto de que sea una buena recomendación, si no todo lo contrario, puede complicar seriamente la evolución y desarrollo de cualquier trader.
MANUEL: ¿Porqué dices que no es una buena recomendación? ¿Porqué puede ser negativo para el desarrollo del trader? Es que ahora no sé si comprarme o no el libro …
Alguien sabe si esta en español?? yo no lo encuentro…
No, no lo está. Y es una pena.
What’s up, I check your blog daily. Your humoristic style is awesome, keep up the good work!
The New Trading for a Living: Psychology, Discipline, Trading Tools and Systems, Risk Control, Trade Management (Wiley Trading) Hardcover – October 27, 2014.
Ese no lo he leído. Yo el que conozco es el viejo (sin el “New”)
Hola soy totalmente nuevo en esto e leido algunos de vuestros comentarios sobre el grafico y me han sonado a chino enfin kisiera q me recomendarais algun libro para ir iniciandome y me e abierto una cuenta con plus500 y no se si es un buen broker o los hay mejores gracias un saludo.
Antonio, tienes este:
Me leeré este despues de el de Jesse Livermore. Es una pasada el mercado de segunda mano de libros que hay en USA y UK, compré el segundo de Elder por poco mas de 5$
Estaria bien que publicaras reseñas de libros mas a menudo.
Hace años que leí “Vivir del trading”, tantos como llevo en el club. Sin duda es un libro muy recomendable, también se lee de una sentada si te gusta el trading. Lo malo es que es bastante caro, pero merece la pena. No obstante yo apuesto por la sencillez y el libro de Uxío “Especular en bolsa” cumple con creces todos los campos necesarios para el trading sin complicarte la vida: cuanto más sencillo mejor.
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Why I prefer RightEdge for strategy modeling.
Choosing a good platform for strategy modeling, simulations and signal generation is critical. The bleak reality is that most back testing software is horribly bad. They are geared towards consumers with limited knowledge and experience and they cater to what your average get-rich-quick technical analysis guru claims that you need. I’m often asked for my views on simulation platforms, and in this post I’ll show you my own perspective and choices.
Non-coders need not apply.
Forget about drag-and-drop system building. That’s not how you make real trading models. If you’re not prepared to learn simple programming to construct your strategies, so you can understand and control every detail, then you probably shouldn’t be doing this at all. You don’t have to be an expert programmer, but you do need to be able to write a bit of code. Let me say that again.
If you are not willing to learn about coding, you should give up all efforts to enter the field of systematic trading.
This is not rocket surgery. Learning enough programming is not that difficult, assuming that you’re of average intelligence or above and not afraid to crack open a book. There was a time when professionals thought themselves too good to learn how to type. Why would a lawyer type? He’s got a secretary. The Mad Men days are in the past and a lawyer who can’t type properly is now reduced to a big helpless baby. Learn how to code. Apenas faça isso.
What’s important in a simulation platform?
We all value slightly different things. This article is of course written very much from my own point of view. I value flexibility.
Most consumer level platforms draw a very narrow box around you. They won’t let you do anything outside of that box. They assume that you want to do a minor variant of some standard system and nothing else. They’re not for professional use.
A big problem with these consumer grade platforms is portfolio level logic. Most don’t have it. Some have it, but just as a horrible after-the-fact implementation they slapped on top of an old platform just to get Portfolio in as a marketing check box.
The development architecture and environment is very important as well. The more they simplify it to cater to lazy people, the worse the platform tends to get. I have a severe allergy against proprietary scripting languages and closed platforms.
Here’s what I want to see:
Industry standard development language. Not “C-style environment” or some other way to say that you have a closed scripting syntax which vaguely resembles a real language. I want the real deal. My preferred language is C#. Not necessarily because it’s best, but because it’s certainly good enough and if you’re in an all Windows environment it’s a great language to standardize on. Extremely open architecture. I want to be able to do absolutely anything. Things that never even occurred to the people developing the platform. I want to be able to change or add any functionality I like. I hate being boxed into a corner when coding. Nobody puts Clenow in the corner. Infinite possibilities. Didn’t I just say that in the last point? Yes, but it’s worth saying again. I want to be able to make and plug in dll’s for anything. New visualizations, data adapters, broker adapters, database connectivity etc etc. Proper portfolio logic. This is rare in affordable platforms. The ability to back test trading models on thousands of instruments, as a real portfolio. This should be done the proper way, in the proper order. Mais sobre isso depois & # 8230; Currency handling. Most platforms assume there’s only one currency in the world. The United States Dollar. If you trade instruments across multiple regions, this assumption breaks down fast.
WealthLab versus RightEdge.
I’ve mentioned WealthLab and RightEdge in the past. They are both pretty good, but my preference clearly lay with RightEdge. I like them because they are both based on CLR, which means that you write proper C# code. They can can both be extended and modified by plugging in your own DLLs. They can both do portfolio level simulations, though they differ in the implementations. Despite the apparent similarities, they are very different to work with.
Overall usability.
WealthLab is user friendly. Chart manipulations is easy. Making a first simple system doesn’t take much time. It feels like a comfortable environment. The documentation is good and there are plenty of samples you can work from. If you make mistakes, you tend to get quite polite error reporting, making it easy for novice coders to debug.
RightEdge looks like a compiler when you open it. That’s because it basically is a compiler. If you’re not used to a compiler, this can feel like you’ve just been parachuted into the jungle. There is definitely a steeper learning curve to get started with RightEdge.
Data Handling.
Before you can really do anything, you need to get your data into the application. Both platforms of course come with some default adapters to get data from various free sources. For professional use, you’re likely going to want to get data from some custom source though. After all, you can’t rely on Yahoo data and such for real life use.
The good news is that it’s quite easy to build data adapters for both platforms. No real difference there. There are samples available that you can modify. Essentially, you make your own DLL in Visual Studio that implements their interface. There will be an interface similar to (pseudo code): Public DataSeries GetTheData(Symbol, StartDate, EndDate) and you just put your own code that to scurry off and fetch from your database or whatever source you prefer. Fácil.
A key difference however is what happens to the data after your DLL provides it. WealthLab will ask your DLL for a fresh data delivery every time the application needs it. Every time you open a chart or run a simulation, your DLL will be bothered.
RightEdge on the other hand has it’s own optimized data storage. When your DLL returns the data, RightEdge will put it in that data storage. When a chart is requested or a sim is performed, RightEdge will get the data from there. Faster, more efficient, but could lead to data duplication and maintenance issues.
My solution is to flush the data storage daily and replace with fresh data from my primary source (my in-house MySql). That avoids issues of data duplication and discrepancies. I do this with simple scripting, using a good old bat file.
Writing your own data adapter does require some basic C# knowledge. Somente. Aprender. Isto.
Portfolio Modeling.
Here we start hitting the first weakness of WealthLab. The architecture of WealthLab is clearly not built for portfolio testing. It’s very obvious that this was an after thought. WealthLab processes one instrument at a time, going over each day for that instrument before moving to the next instrument. This is not how the real world works. It has the unfortunate implication that the trading logic itself is totally unaware of anything happening to other instruments. It doesn’t know the current portfolio holdings or even portfolio value. How could it, since all instruments are not processed yet.
WealthLab iterates bars in a for/next loop. This will likely shock programmers. Here’s how the process works for WealthLab:
Yes, this does seem quite primitive…
RightEdge on the other hand has a correct and modern implementation. It’s event driven, processing each bar as it comes in. This works the same way whether you use static daily data or dynamic intraday streaming real time. The RightEdge way looks more logical. NewBar is called each time a new bar comes in, whatever the frequency might be.
This also means that WealthLab has a dangerous potential for data snooping. When you’re in that loop, you have access to all data. You could just read the whole series. If the variable bar in the for/next loop above is 5, you could still check out what bar 6, 7 or 500 holds. You can read the future. You can also trade the future in WealthLab. Or the past.
RightEdge is not aware of any data that you would not be aware of in reality. When NewBar comes in on June 10, 2011, you have no way of accessing the data as of June 11. You also cannot trade on past prices or on future prices. You can trade now, or you can set limit/stop orders. Like in real life. This avoids the all too common mistakes of trade on information that was not available in reality.
Dimensionamento de posição.
All position sizing algos shipped with simulation platforms are bad. Don’t use them. Building your own is not that difficult. Well, it is in WealthLab.
Let’s say you want to do some simple portfolio level sizing algo. Take the classic ATR sizing, Turtle style. Easy math. You just take the current ATR as a proxy for vola and size your position to have a certain portfolio level risk. There’s only one problem. For this simple calculation, you need to know the portfolio value. Now, obviously, the way that WealthLab iterates one instrument at a time, your code won’t have access to that information. At the time when your code makes a trade, it hasn’t processed other instruments and therefore the portfolio value is unknown.
WealthLab first iterates all instruments as shown above, registers when we’re supposed to buy and sell, and first when it’s done with all of it, it goes back to figure out how many shares/contracts to buy or sell. Ugly.
In WealthLab you have to make your own position sizing DLL. Yes, you are unable to properly change position sizes in the application and you have to program your own DLL in Visual Studio just to set position size. Quite a mess, isn’t it. I made a volatility adjusted position sizer a while ago and published with full source code here: tradersplace/store/volatility-based-position-sizer-for-wealthlab/
So what about RightEdge? The same thing that needs to be done in a complex plugin DLL for WealthLab can be done in a single line of code for RightEdge. No need for ugly workarounds, since RightEdge implemented the data engine right from the start.
Moedas.
If you want to do serious simulation work, you need to account for currencies. And I don’t mean trading currencies, I mean currency attribution. If you deal in international equities, you’ll have a currency exposure on open positions in foreign markets. For futures it’s less of course. There you only have FX exposure on your open P%L. Still, you need to deal with this problem.
RightEdge does it realistically again. You mark each instrument with the base currency, provide time series for currency translations, set your account base currency and your simulations will be done properly. Sure, the documentation for how to do this is lacking a bit, but it still works fine. Yes, if you bug me enough I’ll write a tutorial for how to use this feature.
As far as WealthLab is concerned however, there’s only one currency. There is simply no way to solve this problem for WealthLab. All your instruments need to be in the same currency, or you’ll end up with a huge but invisible error.
Price and sales policy.
WealthLab costs $800 upfront and has a yearly maintenance fee of $150. Compared with many competitors, the pricing is quite far. The only problem is that if you live in North America, you’re only allowed to buy this product if you have an account with Fidelity. That’s quite a severe limitation.
RightEdge is unaffiliated with banks or brokers, and has no yearly fee. It costs only $500 once off. Actually, you’ll get a $50 discount on that if you use coupon code Tradersplace or tell them the magical phrase Clenow Sent Me .
Escalabilidade
WealthLab is not a bad system for quick-and-dirty modeling. It’s very easy to get something done fast and just try out how it looks. It’s not in my view a good system for heavy duty, real world stuff though.
I’ve tried implementing highly complex models on both platforms, and it’s very clear that WealthLab is struggling both in terms of functionality and performance.
Here’s an example of a strategy that I run daily on RightEdge:
Equity momentum stock picking model. Considers over 4’000 stocks across all developed nations, including delisted stocks. Checks for which stocks are part of a given index constituents list on any time and only trades those. Ranks all stocks that were in the index on a given trading day on a complex set of criteria. Implements strata logic, keeping track of which stratum a stock is part of, based on the ranking. Sets portfolio limits in terms of strata, geographic allocation, sector allocation etc. Automatically constructs a realistic portfolio of the very best stocks, within the allocation constraints set. Constant rebalancing of risk and adherence to allocation constraints.
Doing this in RightEdge took some time and coding, but there were no technical issues. In WealthLab, I ran into a wall quite fast. Several walls. In the end, just to get a second platform going, I had to put much of the logic inside a database server, as WealthLab just couldn’t handle something like this.
Do I get paid for peddling these platforms?
No. At least not yet.
I contacted both companies to see if I could make a deal with them. I was recommending them anyhow, so why not. My suggestion was that they offer a discount to people I refer to them and that they give me a little something in return. Daniel at RightEdge quickly agreed and offered a $50 discount for users who enter my coupon code ‘ tradersplace ‘ when ordering. I get the same amount myself. So far, no one actually used that coupon code. I know that people bought after I recommended them, but so far they all forgot to enter that code… Ah bem.
And WealthLab? Well.. they are a bit larger organization and that can be seen in their responses to such requests. It took a couple of months for them to get back to me, and then they came with a counter suggestion. They proposed that I change my business model. They suggested that I become a full time online seminar provider, doing training sessions on how to use their software. Hm.. Well, it’s good to know that I have options in case I blow up my hedge funds.
Conclusão.
If you want to be a part of the systematic trading field, get things done right. Don’t make half assed solutions. WealthLab is a good gateway drug to get started with, but RightEdge is the good stuff. Having two platforms is not a bad idea if you have the time and patience for it, but if you go with one my suggestion is RightEdge.
Creativity is important in this field. Coming up with a hair brained idea and testing it out. Sometimes an oddball out of the box idea might actually lead to a huge breakthrough. If you’re stuck with a simulation platform that doesn’t allow you to be fully creative, you have a problem. Then you’re stuck implementing stone age technical analysis models.
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Introdução ao Python Modeling & # 8211; Fazendo um modelo Momentum Equity.
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Um tipo muito diferente de modelo de tendência.
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Norgate Data for RightEdge Review.
129 comments.
Thanks, really worthwhile – I’m at the early stages of looking into this – do you have any opinion on quantconnect or ninjatrader/?
I hear good things about NinjaTrader, but I never used it. I should probably take a closer look soon.
I’m not so sure about QuantConnect though. What is there to gain from moving to a browser? All you accomplish is to lose control and flexibility. It’s neat technology and kudos to the guys who made it, but I don’t see why anyone would want to use such a solution.
Hey Andreas, Why use QuantConnect?
& # 8211; We have 15 years tick resolution data FX and equities and are growing this library all the time. And its free.
& # 8211; We have a massively parallel cloud stack allowing you to backtest 5-10 years of tick data in minutes vs days. Allowing iterations faster than ever before.
& # 8211; Its native C# – infinitely extensible and powerful. There’s zero language limitations unlike Ninja or Tradestation. No way to loose flexibility.
& # 8211; We have hundreds of open sourced algorithms people are sharing to the community for others to learn and grow from.
& # 8211; We provide it all for free and are looking to monetize from trading revenues with brokerages.
& # 8211; We do introductions to partnering hedgefunds when people generate strategies with over 3.0 sharpe and less than 5% drawdown. Scale your strategy once you’ve got one working for maximum profit.
& # 8211; We are algorithmic traders and have made every beginner mistake possible before our strategies started making money. Given this and given quants spend 90% of time building engine when they should be focused on their strategy we believe we can help people get to market faster.
You have 15 years of tick data? Hm.. That’s actually pretty significant.
Tick data access is usually out of reach for non-pros due to the costs and the difficulties of making a proper setup for tick level analysis.
Can you share where the data comes from? Cleaning tick data can be difficult as you know, so it would be interesting to know who’s supplying it to you.
For the tick data, I’ll add you to the Sites I Like here.
As I mentioned to you before, Jared, I like what you’re doing. I have still have some reservations about moving to a browser, but I’m not really your target audience. It might be a good platform for others.
Just out morbid curiosity: If your platform really has zero language limitations, and it has all this very valuable tick level data, what’s stopping me from writing a ‘trading system’ which actually just dumps your tick database to my own server?
Thanks Andreas, we provide list our sources here: quantconnect/data We have tick-trades time-stamped to the nearest second, and trade-bars at second and minute level for all 16,000 equities (no survival bias).
QuantQuote has proprietary algorithms for cleaning data – they pre-clean it and give us the tools to backward adjust the data for splits and dividends.
Re-curiosity – it is a concern and we’ve had to shutdown a few accounts. We monitor traffic and logs, and suggest signing up with real identities but thankfully people have had a lot of integrity.
Damn you for forcing me to question my comfortable preconceived notions, Jared! I was perfectly content with dismissing your solution from the outset.
I’m not your target group, but I’m starting to think that your solution could actually be very interesting to many people.
Here’s what I see now:
Your primary selling point is, or should be, the data access. Apart from us hedge hogs, very few people have access to tick data or properly dividend adjusted data. (splits and corp actions are easy)
Being able to model in such an environment could be very valuable to serious people who want to break into the business, hobby developers, smaller trading firms and even for larger firms as a sandbox environment.
If your environment actually allows for data theft, from a technical perspective, then it does seem quite flexible. I had of course expected you to say that this was not possible, and thereby negating your previous statement about zero limitations…
Ok, Jared, you’re starting to convince me that QuantConnect might actually be really good.
Andreas – thanks very much for the detailed, authoritative and occasionally humorous comparison of RightEdge to WealthLab. It was well done. As someone who’s struggled recently to evaluate both platforms armed with only anemic coding skills, your evaluation is much appreciated.
Your focus on RE’s edge (pun intended) in handling portfolio-level simulation is key; This may explain, for example, why I got different results on RE and WL running two identically constructed trading systems using the same data and matching money management rules. The difference between them was only 20-60 basis points — but still, enough to make you worry that something’s not right. Thanks for explaining what’s really happening under the hood.
Also, I noticed something else strange with WL — if you run the same exact system several times in a row, you’d sometimes get different simulation results.
Yes, it’s true that the Philistines out there (including me) without, yet, good C# coding skills will be unable to leverage RE for anything other than very basic systems testing. However, I’m guessing that many out there would still prefer to bypass WL altogether and use RE as their primary systems testing environment — even as their coding skills progress.
One bright spot is how RE ensures that system testing code is the same — whether you’re creating in drag and drop, or in a language. This allows a new RE user — who’s struggling to fix a problem using the DnD GUI — to simply plug in and run some custom-built code provided by other RE forum members. In contrast, within WL, I’ve not been able to get this to work consistently.
It remains to be seen if — and when — RightEdge will be able to make its application more user friendly without dumbing down the app’s tremendous flexibility and power. I don’t know if this is actually worth the risk — but if they were successful in this, it would result in a significantly larger user base, which would bring benefits to all.
Separately, I’m taking up a collection to buy Andreas a t-shirt that reads “Nobody puts Clenow in the corner!”. Por favor, entre em contato para mais detalhes.
What do you mean, occasionally.
Haha Keep your day job(s).
Ha! You think I have a day job!
This is actually expected behavior in wealthlab. It happens when you generate multiple orders at the same point in time but don’t have the equity to execute them all. It then randomized which orders to take. The way you avoid this is to define a ranking for your simultaneous orders then you will get consistent results for each back test .
Verdade. I used to do exactly that when I used RE for equity modelling many years ago. Calculate a ranking value and use that to prioritize trades.
I wish you had written this one year earlier.
I also came to the conclusion as you that most of the SW available does not let you do whatever you want the strategy to do. To make matters worse, I prefer to use Linux which reduces your choices to none.
I started building my simulator, back tester and portfolio management tool using Python and use Pandas (Python for data analysis library) to do most of the coding. Por enquanto, tudo bem. I just started incorporating futures, hopefully, I will finish it soon.
However, after reading your article, I feel I have made one mistake. Just like wealthlab, I am running my “strategy” over each instrument over the desired range of date (for backtesting) and then build the portfolio for the instruments which have triggered. I thought this was faster for some reason. Well, it is what it is for now, but I will keep in my mind what you have blogged while building the next system.
Obrigado por escrever.
A few months ago, after reading your book, I decided to buy a Matlab license as an entry step, because the home version is quite cheap and there’s plenty of documentation available for developers, which minimizes the risk of getting stuck for a long time, trying to program the tool to do what you want.
RightEdge looks really powerful and suitable as a long term solution, however I found some negative review about the quality of user documentation, so I fear the learning curve might be very steep at the beginning.
In your experience, how is the quality of the developing material with RightEdge? Apart from C# programming issues, when starting from scratch, can you rely just on the user documentation and code examples available on-line?
The documentation is not great, but the bigger problem is in terms of expectations.
Most retail traders are used to being hand held by simulation software. Point and click, quick and easy way of doing things. RightEdge is clearly built for people who are comfortable with a compiler type environment.
RightEdge doesn’t try to teach you how C# works. It gives you an object model and drops you in the deep end. There’s no attempt to guide you as to the differences between using an array, a cue, a stack, a dictionary, IList etc. To be fair, I don’t think it’s the responsibility of RightEdge to teach C#.
There are example systems included as well as sample plugins for various things. It will scare off people who don’t know anything about programming and are not willing to learn, but if you’re familiar with the basics of using Visual Studio, you’ll be right at home.
I include regular code examples in my weekly analysis report as well, with real life type solutions.
Great article Andreas.
I am wondering thought, can you really do anything with RightEdge? Let’s say I want to use some third pary statistical library, maybe run GARCH or something, repeat it multiple times with varying parameters and then plot results as a function of parameters with some third-pary charting library, do some Monte Carlo runs and after that put some sophisticated risk managment on top of all that, optimize parameters for that, etc. Can stuff like that be done with RightEdge? Are options really limitless as long as you know how to code?
Yes, I believe you can do anything. Of course, if you get into the really extreme things, you might end up using so little of the original application that you start question why you didn’t built from scratch…
If you prefer, you can view RightEdge as just a set of libraries. You can do your entire strategy in Visual Studio if you like, just referencing the RE libs. Pick the stuff you want, like the core time series engine, and build your solution around it.
What you’re describing should be possible right in the applications IDE. Either build everything right in there, or make a helper DLL to take care of some duties. I often build these helper DLLs for convenience.
Boa. It’s always nice to know that the option is there if needed. Writing your own stuff from scratch can be time consuming and error-prone and is probably not worth it (given the price tag of RightEdge), unless your into, as you put it, really extreme things.
Again, thank you for taking the time to write this up. It’s great to hear how a professional does it. I have sketched out how I would like to develop my system, and I have chosen to at least start with python and associated libraries (free compared to $500) to build my simulation framework. I can easily pull data from a database, code up signals, keep track of positions and manage risk in numpy arrays. Would you still recommend something like RightEdge over a custom framework in python (or matlab if you want to spend the money)?
Also, I thought your book was awesome. Maybe these questions have been answered somewhere already, but I’m interested in hearing more about your background and career progress. Also, it seems as though trend following fees are being compressed and offered more and more as retail products. What are your views on the future of this industry?
Thanks, J. Many hedge funds build their own frameworks from scratch. It makes sense if you have the budget for it. If you’re a retail trader or a smaller institutional trader, it tough to justify the time spend on constructing and maintaining such a solution though.
In terms of technology, I’m quite agnostic. I look for pragmatic solutions only. C# makes the most sense for me in my environment, but there are many valid choices of environments. Consider the time you’ll spend both building and maintaining it though. It’s probably not worth saving a few hundred, unless of course the fun of coding it is part of your motivation.
My background is an unusual one. Perhaps I’ll write some day about the amazing experience and unlikely path I’ve been walking. The story might actually make for a good book, if I would turn out to be capable of actually writing a real book. And for all of you who just fell out your chairs (or cocked your guns) don’t worry too much. I’ll keep your names out of it…
The business is changing for sure. Most importantly, regulations are creating huge entry barriers and knocking out small players. Strategies are getting more complex as assets consolidate with a few large players. Low cost replication strategies are becoming available, putting pressure on single strategy managers. The world is changing and we with it. Those who don’t, go the way of the dodo.
The code ” Clenow Sent Me ” didn’t work! 😉 (So I used tradersplace Instead 😉
Enough jokes. I really like the way you are showing me as after work trader insights in to the work of a pro. It greatly inspires and improves both my thinking and my trading. I hope you will be here fo some more time!
Anyways, I had to move from my old trading software as it was quite limited. Glad I got your book at the right moment, considered both, WL and RE and bought WL because I got easier access to it (user friendly). Still had the feeling though that RE is more “trading”,
I am learning the ropes with C# now … and after reading your article considered RE again – and just bought it. I appreciate much what you already did for smoothening the learning curve with it but if you can afford some time and have further ideas – keep’m coming!
Btw: starting searching for the seccond book by Author Andreas Clenow. As I like the style you write, I bet this will be as great a read as your actual one.
I’ll do some more posts later on about how to make systems and plugins in RightEdge. I also plan to include more full systems and design ideas with RightEdge code in my weekly research report. Did I mention that I offer a weekly research report? And that you can sign up here? followingthetrend/clenow-futures-intelligence/
I’ll probably do a second book sooner or later. It takes a long time to write one though… I’m considering venturing into equity strategies with a follow-up book. The complexity goes up significantly in that area, but for some reason most people seem to skip over that. Handling dividends, survivor-ship bias etc opens a whole new can of worms.
A. Loved your book.
B. I have a license for Ami-Brioker that I have let expire and am contemplating the upgrade. Do you have any insights to possible short comings of that platform? Would this product be a comparable to WealthLab for a back up to RightEdge?
Thanks in advance for your response.
Thanks, Brian. I never used AmiBroker, but I know some people who do. Nick Radge (thechartist. au/) for instance loves it.
My understanding is that it uses some proprietary scripting language, and for me that’s a deal breaker. It might not be for everyone of course, depending on what you need.
I never used it, so I might be wrong here, but it seems to me as if AmiBroker is a pretty strong platform. The core weakness is likely that it seems to be a closed platform, which triggers an allergic reaction for me. If anyone reading this has interesting experiences to share, please chip in.
I got your book, just starting to read it. Any thoughts on developing on Seertrading, Multicharts, Tradestation, Ninjatrader, Trading Blox or Trade Navigator?
Also, what is the name of the hedge fund you manage?
I’ve got limited experience of them. You can’t try them all, or you’d spend all your time learning and testing new platforms.
Seer Trading: Never heard of it. R integration seems interesting though. The native multi system simulation seems interesting as well. Seems like you have to use FXCM or IB though, which is a huge negative.
TradingBlox: Seems to have very good functionality built in. Too closed platform for my taste. Extremely overpriced. Who pays $4,000 for retail trading software?
MultiCharts: Looks quite interesting. Over priced, but a little less extreme than TradingBlox. Hard to tell from the docs if it can do complex tasks or not. Built in Bloomie real time adapter is a nice extra.
TradeStation: Last time I used this, admittedly some years ago, it was strictly low end retail. I’d be very surprised if they managed to enter the field of complex portfolio simulations.
NinjaTrader: Seems ok and I know people who use it. A worrying phrase in the docs is “C# based NinjaScript”, which makes me worry. Either its real C#, or its a proprietary scripting language similar to a real language. And I’m allergic to scripting languages.
TradeNavigator: Never heard of it. Doesn’t look promising from their own marketing: “Unlike other analysis platforms that use Pascal, C# and Java, Trade Navigator uses English and simple math symbols to allow for easy implementation of strategies”. That seems to say “We think you’re an idiot who don’t understand computers or simulations”.
My funds: The only fund I manage that open for new investments is the Globalanced Systematic Fund. I very deliberately avoid mentioning my asset management business on this website, as regulations around hedge fund marketing are getting very strict and I don’t want this website seen by regulators as fund distribution.
I use Trade Navigator and my experience using it has been excellent. I’ve been using it for 2 years now. I do not use overly complicated functions but for what I use it for it has been fantastic. I am technical trader, use of EMA’s and support and resistance in the futures, forex and CFD markets.
I know one of the best futures traders in the world ( Peter L Brandt) uses their platform…that’s where I learned of them.
Hi Andreas, hi all,
1.) Absolutely outstanding book you’ve written, Andreas. Many thanks for writing it.
2.) AmiBroker: When reading the part about Wealth Labs’s portfolio-level testing, you could as well described AmiBroker portfolio testing.
As with Wealth Lab, the portfolio-level testing part has been added late in AB’s development (the old – individual instrument-based – backtester is even still there as an alternative). So as with WL – two separate runs, the first one calculating the entry - end exit-signals within the single instrument’s array (AB is heavily array-based), the second one doing all portfolio-based calculations (position sizing, etc).
Thus, the first run (the one in which your “normal” code is run) has no clue about all portfolio-based variables (equity, cash, etc), the second – porfolio-based – run (that can be accessed via AmiBroker’s “Custom Backtester Interface” – which AmiBroker’s manual regards as “the advanced stuff”, and which is a completely separate part of code within the main code file) has no clue what instruments are or have been processed. So the difficulties come in when a calculation needs information from both of these runs (i. e. position sizing, risk management, etc).
Of course there are ways for solving this. The easy ones are fixed functions like “SetPostionSize()” which bridge the gap between the first & the second run with some simple out-of-the-box position sizing algorithms which are rather inflexible, the more complex ones involve many rather awkward & errorprone workarounds.
If you have a knack for slightly more complex position sizing & risk management algorithms, AmiBroker can be a real pain in the a**.
The favorite sentence from AmiBroker’s developer is that “you can do *everything* with AmiBroker”. While this might be true, oftentimes the process of reaching an often rather simple goal is surprisingly and unnecessarily complicated, error-prone, time-consuming, and in the end frustrating.
On the other hand, primarily because of AB’s heavy use of arrays (generally, you don’t loop through the bars, but rather manipulate the complete e. g. price array of a given instrument with one single function), it’s very easy to code indicators, scans, and quantitative research (the kind Cesar Alvarez or Quantifiable Edges’ Rob Hanna does). But imho it’s really not ideal in the way of efficient for serious portfolio-level system backtesting.
Thanks, Torsten! Excellent write-up on Amibroker.
I’ve got a couple of people I trust who are urging me to try out AmiBroker, so I might have to test it myself. It sounds very much like they’ve landed in the same trap as WealthLab though.
One thing that puzzles me is that people I trust are claiming that AmiBroker has a built in method for only considering stocks that were part of a given index at a given date back in time. Taking historical index constituents joiners/leavers info into account. I’ve got a pretty complex solution for that myself, so I’m quite curious if this is really solved by Ami.
The position sizing and risk management mess created by the dual run hack makes it a non-starter for heavy duty work though. Still, from what I hear, it sounds like a good competitor to WL. I’ll have to give it a spin soon.
Funny enough, I replied to a thread on LinkedIn recently about C# trading platforms. A guy working for WealthLab quickly jumped in, assuring everyone that with their platform you can get rich in no time by spending just five minutes every evening at the computer. Amazing that they don’t just fire people dumb enough to make such claims in public. It reflects very poorly on their organization.
Historical index constituents: Yes – but it’s not really a build-in functionality of AmiBroker. I guess your friends are using the Norgate Premium Data database ( premiumdata/ ) – which currently is the database of choice for AB users (as it’s of good quality & nicely integrated into AB).
While the version of the database offered on Norgate’s site (v3.x) doesn’t have the historical index constituents functionality, the non-public alpha version of v4.x does (plus some more improvements). Norgate’s developers have written a plug-in for AmiBroker which adds a couple of historcial index constituents related new functions to AB’s scripting language (AFL).
While this version has been labeled “alpha” for several years now (don’t ask me why), generally it’s working pretty well. As a Norgate subscriber, you can just send them a message about being included as an alpha tester.
Speaking of Norgate, RightEdge sounds pretty promising, and I really would like to test-drive it sooner or later with Norgate’s database. But in order to do that, I obviously have to code a data plug-in. And coding plug-ins generally sounds somehow intimidating. While I’m sort of confident that I can learn C# (I coded assembly language as a hobby as a teenager), in order to play & learn with RightEdge, I need something to play with, i. e. dados. For which in turn I need a data plug-in… Additionally, I guess one has to solve that historical index constituents thingy by oneself, as there’s no related plug-in for RightEdge as there is for AmiBroker (yet?).
Regarding AmiBroker, in order to get an overview of its concepts, you could just read the following pages of its manual:
Understanding how AFL works [concept of arrays in AB]:
Back-testing your trading ideas:
Pyramiding (scaling in/out) and mutliple currencies in the portfolio backtester:
Interesting, thanks. I’ll take a look at Norgate as well. My current data sources are priced beyond reach for retail traders and I’ve been searching for a good equity data provider accessible to retail.
As for plugins, data providers etc: RightEdge comes with enough sample code for most people to figure it out. Of course, you’ll need Visual Studio to make the compiled DLLs. If I like the Norgate data, I might even make an adapter and publish the code here. I’ll check with them if they have an API for the historical constituents data. Should be easy to make a RightEdge adapter for that too.
In my current solution, I’ve made a RightEdge indicator that shows 0 for days where the stock was not part of the specified index and 1 if it was in. The indicator queries my MySql db in the constructor and builds a time series out of it.
Ah, I think I found the Achilles heel of Norgate. They don’t adjust for dividends, nor do they provide dividends info. Oddly enough, they say that the reason for this is to “stay in sync” some index providers who don’t adjust for dividends… Sounds like a pretty poor excuse for not handling data properly.
In reality there are dividends which can greatly affect returns over time. Portfolio models using stock ranking and selection mechanisms will end up picking the wrong stocks without this info.
Not so fast :-). Both of these issues have been addressed in the alpha of v4.x (that’s what I’ve been refering to when speaking of “some more improvements”).
The plug-in has an “options” window where you can change the behavior regarding a) date padding and b) adjustments for corporate actions. While v3.x only adjusts for Capital Events and Special Cash Dividends, in v4.x you additionaly can choose to adjust for Ordinary Cash Dividends.
Historical dividend info is there as well; the Norgate plug-in puts it into the “Aux2” array for each symbol in AmiBroker.
Now it’s getting interesting! They really need to update their website with this info.
You’re welcome, Andreas. I would contact Richard Dale of Norgate – he’s pretty open to sensible suggestions.
I’ve asked them about supporting RightEdge some time ago, but they’ve never heard of it at that time (but obviously it’s been put on some “to-do” list).
PS & # 8211; just a personal observation: I am aware that AB has plenty of very happy users. But over time, I’ve got the impression that this user-base – apart from the basics – is not very interested in (dynamic) position sizing and more complex risk management (e. g. dynamic control of position risk, sector risk, portfolio risk, directional risk, etc). I. e. I’ve very rarely seen discussions (let alone code examples) about such topics within AmiBroker’s community. Personally, I’m very interested in those things, which probably is the reason why I tend to constantly run into walls with AB. Another topic would be multiple systems with AB. While I’ve seen several discussions about it, I’ve never seen a real solution (AB’s developer said it would be “possible”, though).
I just spoke with Richard at Norgate and I’m very positively surprised. Their low prices and quite horrible website set my expectations low, but they actually seem very professional and their data looks very interesting.
They seem to have some critical data that to my knowledge no other retail data provider holds. If they can deliver what they promise, they seem severely under priced.
I’m going to try out their data and if it all seems as good as it sounds, I’ll help them integrate it into RightEdge. I’ll report back with my findings later on…
Great to hear that, Andreas! I think I’ve made a good decision when choosing them as my data provider – imho they’re absolutely excellent.
Just don’t persuade them to increase their prices – we small-timers need some affordable quality data as well 😉
Also, it would be fantastic if you could help them integrating into RE. When one is just starting out on a new platform and/or programming language, having to do one of the harder things (i. e. coding plug-ins) right at the beginning is probably sort of challenging.
What about Matlab, or Matlab + C#? Since most trading ideas go nowhere, a fast prototyping language that is flexible seems ok.
Absolutamente. Matlab is just fine, when used by someone skilled in the platform. I know of at least one billion dollar hedge fund using Matlab as their main modelling platform.
Matlab might not be the most intuitive language environment for beginners of course. For those who already learnt Matlab during university studies, it’s a great platform to continue using.
I’m all for quick prototyping. Getting the job done is more important than getting all the details right from the start.
Thanks for the great book it’s now one of my favorite books.
I am new to systematic/strategic trading after going through your book I came to know about Rightedge. As of now for I been using Amibroker but I am currently working on developing my own automatic trading system. Currently bit confused and require a little help.
1st I am planning to buy rightedge , but as I still own Amibroker lifetime license I am not able to make the decision if should explore rightedge or continue with learn Amibroker AFL language (I do not really like the AFL codes).
2nd how an ideal algo system should look like.
Database on separate system Mysql?
For charting, strategies and backtesting rightedge or amibroker ?
Whats for Trade execution?
Você pode por favor ajudar.
I never used AmiBroker, but I hear it’s good if you’re not much into programming. I prefer standard architecture and strong APIs, so RightEdge is more for me.
Please tell the guys at RightEdge that I referred you, and you’ll get a discount. Use my coupon code, ‘tradersplace’. I get a small fee ($50), but more importantly the more people I refer the more they’ll listen to my improvement suggestions.
I’m planning on doing a post about my views on how to set up the infrastructure, databases etc. In brief, I get my data from various sources and have my own C# applications collect, standardize and push into a MySql. From there I make data adapters for RE to fetch data from my DB.
You can do execution straight from RE if you like. I don’t though. Mostly because I’m a control freak and I don’t want a computer to take over my executions. We execute everything manually here.
I guess you’re already in the process of evaluating Norgate – but at least for everyone else – Cesar has recently written a nice post on their “eternal alpha” software:
Hi Thorsten, i know this is almost two years since your post but as an AmiBroker user who is also interested portfolio management, dynamic position sizing and more complex risk management i was wondering if you stuck with AmiBroker?
If yes, I’d be happy to get in touch to discuss how to best use Amibroker for those purposes.
Hi Larry P, I am also very interested in this topic. You can contact me at jofnilsen@hotmail.
I truly enjoyed reading your book. It really made me curious to learn more about trading based on trend while at the same time focusing on volatility and diversification. However, your book focuses on the professional with an institutional investor base.
Personally, I find it hard pitching to investors a simulated result without any hard track record. Thus, I would like to ask you how a ‘newbie’ without any coding and future trading experience can become a ‘professional’ trader. In fact, one of the major hurdles is the small cash base in a retail portfolio.
I would like to implement strategies for my own personal retail portfolio resulting in sane, realistic investment returns. I would be interested in your opinion pertaining to starting in this field with a retail portfolio constraint by a low cash base while at the same time having no experience in this market. Is it possible to replicate your strategy i. e. with mini futures? And how to gain in a quick manner coding and future trading experience without allocating to much time in coding rather than in finding profitable strategies.
Again, I would like to point out that your book is superb and that it really motivated me.
With scandinavian greetings,
Getting in is tough. I’ve never taken the traditional route with anything, so I’m sure if my own path is of much help.
I generally believe that having a solid science background is very helpful. It’s more useful to have a degree in physics than in economics. I say that despite the fact that I have a degree in economics myself.
Since you’re in Europe, you could use CFDs to trade in smaller scale. It’s a little more expensive to trade, but would enable you to take smaller positions. Expect to lose money early on, so don’t trade big.
My view is that you need to have a good understanding of coding in order to be a systematic trader. You’d be helpless without it. This is the core of the business and if you don’t fully understand every detail, you’ll be at the mercy of others.
Overall, focus on the portfolio level. The idea of single systems for single markets is amateur world. You need to focus on overall portfolio returns, not on position or instrument level.
Thanks for the comparison of Wealtlab and RE, that is truly helpful!
At the moment I’m using several platforms to backtest my trading strategies (AmiBroker, Investox, Excel/VBA) and every platform has its limitations.
Especially in the area of risk based position sizing and portfolio back testing I came to the limits of Amibroker and Investox pretty fast, so I used good old Excel/VBA to program my future trading strategy.
Regarding Amibroker I totally agree with Thorstens statement. The tool might be capable of everything but sometimes you spend 3 days to achieve a rather simple objective and it is frustrating if you just want to test your trading ideas (e. g. ATR based position sizing in the custom level backtester).
At the moment I am taking a more detailed look at RightEdge and there are two topics I would appreciate your (and all others) opinion on, before switching platforms:
RightEdge Community: The RightEdge forum looks quite abandoned to me. There are a handful users and the developer discussing several topics. I understand you talked to the developers. Do they have a roadmap for the further development and maintenance of RightEdge?
Availability of plugins: I’m surprised that even standard data connections (e. g. metastock) are not part of the RightEdge installation. It seems that several users have the same issues and have developed plugins for themselves. Besides the Right Edge forum, do you know a place where users share their experience regarding plugin development or even share their plugins?
Obrigado pela ajuda!
I’m concerned as well with the low activity in the RightEdge forums and the lack of improvements and developments of the product.
I really like RightEdge. I think it’s a great piece of software and I’d gladly pay ten times the asking price for it. But, it’s not without worrying elements. It seems to have gone from a ‘real’ company to a hobby project. The developers are not focusing full time on this product, but rather have other jobs in the software industry and see RightEdge as a side revenue.
That makes RightEdge more of a boutique software. The current version, which came about around four years ago, is really good. It’s just a pity that they don’t continue and built upon it, making new versions.
The problem with the overly commercial competitor platforms is the opposite. They keep doing new versions, usually making them less useful for high-end developers and catering to the get-rich-quick retail crowd. Of course, that’s where the volume is for charting/systems software.
For me, the issues you point out are clearly a concern and something to be taken into account. It’s not however a showstopper for me.
As for a dedicated forum for high-end RightEdge developers, perhaps I should just start one. If there’s interest, I could set one up on this site. For such a forum to be useful though, we would need several people willing to contribute ideas and help answer questions. I’d be happy to help out, but I wouldn’t want it to become a “Q&A with Andreas”. It would have to be based on everyone helping out.
If there’s interest, I’d be happy to host such a site though.
As a long time user of another ‘comercial’ software I, I moved to WL / RE after I read your book. As I have a full time job, I am still in the learning stage with everything, the software, C# and programming my systems. Some things are trial and error but fort me this is where I learn the most for myself. I’d be happy to share and contribute (although it isn’t that much atm ;-).
If we can build a large enough base of eager traders, this could be a useful resource for all of us.
On a side note: I’d like to get an adress as I’d be glad to have signed my copy of your book. You may PM me if that is OK.
Hi Torsten, i know this is almost two years since your post but as an AmiBroker user who is also interested portfolio management, dynamic position sizing and more complex risk management i was wondering if you stuck with AmiBroker?
If yes, I’d be happy to get in touch to discuss how to best use Amibroker for those purposes.
I have been using RE since about day dot when it started and helped develop some of the ideas they have in there now. I am one of the old forum users who lingers around every now and then.
I also use it with Norgate data (metastock) so it can be done with a bit of work.
I like there platform for every reason Andreas lists but also agree it looks a bit abandoned at the moment.
I believe the biggest problem for RE is actually the low price. 500 once off, with no maintenance fees, means that there’s a limited economic upside for the developer. I’d much rather see a yearly fee of 500 bucks and a more active development cycle. I’ve told Daniel my view on that in the past.
I’ve even contemplated making a bid for the whole thing and turn it into a much larger business, but frankly I’ve got far too much going on at the moment to be able to commit proper time to oversee it.
I’m hoping my articles are getting them enough new users to increase the activity a bit. It’s an amazing platform with great potential.
Shoot me an email –I can’t find yours – Just about your last post. I have though about the same thing as well.
Great article again, Andreas! And good follow up discussion! As i’m new to portfolio level simulations, it had saved me lots of research time.
This was such a good article, it has inspired me to try to use RightEdge for our own trading! I just created a post where I lay out some of our use cases:
Perhaps you have some insight or opinions you would be willing to share? Also, feel free to email me.
And thanks for the excellent work!
I heard great things about Genesis Trade Navigator. Have you ever heard about them? They offer tick data for backtesting back 30 years because they have own database. And also a very simple programing language.
I looked into them briefly after someone asked a while ago. I believe my conclusion was that it seemed like just another simplistic retail package. ‘Simple programming language’ is actually a bad thing. All these proprietary languages are all horribly bad. They are all severely limiting and they’re not fit for professional use.
Can one execute live trades via RightEdge or WealthLab? What do you use for executing live trades? Saxo Trader?
Thank you in advance for your reply!
WealthLab is gimped after they limited themselves to one single broker.
With RightEdge you can execute automagically with any broker you like, as long as they support some sort of API. RE has a strong API for making your own broker plugin if you need.
We use several different brokers. I’ve worked with most large banks over the years. We do all execution trading manually and don’t use automated software for that.
I thank you for your reply! Does it mean you use RE for charting? That you see your signals and then execute them manually? Since I am looking for a good software where I could also manually execute my trades.
I use RE for a number of things. It’s a great platform for simulation work of course, to develop strategies in. Then I also use it for signal generation for trading models, where I let RE output the alerts to email, database, popups boxes etc.
RE can also be a pretty good portfolio management tool, if you extend it a little. Pre-load the exact real positions and perform analysis from there.
Finally I also use it for automated reporting and analytics. For instance, the ‘trends of the world’ page on this site and many similar things are done with RightEdge.
Andreas, in terms of signal generation, is RE aware of the current portfolio when it generates signals? For example, if one has remaining capital for one more position only, will RE generate only one signal? I know it can be done in backtesting, but what about the live trading?
Yes, it can be done properly. By default, the application is aware of the current (simulated) portfolio, and takes it from there. It prioritizes trades in the order that they were submitted and takes the ones that are possible given cash constraints etc.
If you want to improve it further for live use, you can load your actual live portfolio to get a real life starting condition before signals are generated. You’d have to code that functionality yourself of course, but it can be done.
Andreas, how are things going with the RE’s PremiumData adapter? I thought you were beta-testing it last year. It seems its development has stalled. Perhaps, building industrial-strength adapters for RE is not that easy after all. It’s a pity as this is a major road blocker for me.
Last I heard, it was delayed but still on the way. Premium Data is attempting something very different, going far beyond just a regular data adapter. They’re doing instrument selection based on current and historical index constituents, cash dividends adjustments etc. Quite complex work. I should know, we’ve built the same for our own in-house environment, using a different data source…
Good to hear the project is not abandoned.
Interesting discussion re Amibroker as I’ve been attempting to replicate Andreus’ back tested results using virtually the same market set he states in the book and keep hitting a brick wall in the Amibroker results. Despite being reasonably confident in the code I’m using and a quality Norgate data supply there always seemed to be a disconnect to the backtested returns which you demonstrate in the book so it’s interesting to hear from Thorsten that description of how Amibroker position sizes and why it potentially would not be accurate. The big question mark over my mind now is whether to start again from scratch with Right Edge (and learn how to code in C# which sounds like a very long road ahead) or to continue to attempt to code in Amibroker. As I’ve already got a data subscription and the data itself I’m not sure how difficult it would be to get that data into Right Edge and it doesn’t sound as though it’s as supported as the Norgate/Amibroker currently is…
I spoke with Richard Dale at Premium data last week. He tells me that they’re almost done with a fully integrated RightEdge adapter. They were waiting for some improvements to the symbol watchlist API, which was just released in build 34 a week or so ago.
You don’t need any deeper knowledge of C# to write trading models. Get the trial, drop me a mail and I’ll send you some sample trading models for you to start off with.
Thankyou so much for this update and your kind offer. I will kindly bite your hand off to that suggestion and will be in touch once that Premium Data adapter is released. Have already purchased my C# Programming Yellow Book and as this is a medium/long term path I’m on this help is enourmously appreciated. I’ll keep you updated along my journey as being based in London I’m using SAXO CFDs also whom I understand you have a business relationship with…
I got the same experience as you Simon, I just can’t see to get the same results as Clenow, I get in the proximity of his results, but that is not good enough for me, I can’t trade not knowing that my system is 100%. Now Im converting to rightedge.
Since I have paid for premiumdata for amibroker, I will try and use them, they said they had a plugin for rightedge, but they still had some minor bugs needed fixing… Im waiting a few more days, if they can’t fix it I will use quant quote and mySQL solution.
I think they’re finally done with the RightEdge plugin. They’ve given me an access code for it, but I didn’t have time to try it out yet.
You mentioned Saxo Bank Switzerland as a honest bank/broker to go. I don’t know how the Swiss branch, but almost all other branches of Saxo Bank are terrible, especially the Danish one. I read several terrible reviews on Saxo. I laso asked a few friends of mine who used Saxo for some time.
I found that they manipulate with price and their support is terrible. Also the Saxo Trader has a lot of bugs.
I hope it is not the case for the Swiss branch. I guess you know their trading platform well. Can traders add new indicators into the platform if they are programmers?
Thank you in advance for your reply!
All I can say is that I’ve dealt with quite a few investment banks around the world and I’ve got nothing but good experiences with Saxo.
I’m also aware of this trend of hating on Saxo by the anonymous kids in the hobby trading forums. Frankly, all I’ve seen is a bunch of people hiding behind fake names throwing random accusations in anger. They even keep spamming the comment section on Tradersplace with these ‘saxo stole my money’ Absurdo. They sound like every other internet child trash talking Rebecca Black, Justin Bieber or whatever the hate object of the day is.
Bottom line is simple. If you’ve got something real, then present it. This is Europe. Saxo is a regulated bank. If there’s price manipulation, go sue them. Faça uma reclamação. Get a lawyer. Instead these people are behaving like little children throwing tantrums, hiding behind fake screen names and throwing vague accusations around.
This is a grownup game. I have no patience for these childish internet troll cultures. If these people can’t play a grownup game, perhaps they should do something else.
Now, I have no idea of whether Saxo has ‘manipulated prices’ whatever these people mean by that. I also have no idea if Goldman has done so. But if I thought a bank had ripped me off, they would hear from my lawyers. Not from my anonymous hate comments on some daytrading site.
I thank you for your reply! I will give them a try! I trust you since I really like your book and I tested everything mentioned in the book and everything is as you said … you are definitely not a scam artist! 🙂
I tried their demo, but I couldn’t find the ATR stop indicator in Saxo Trader 2 you mentioned in the book. I want to program it. Do you think is it possible? I worked as a programmer over 2 decades, so it shouldn’t be a big deal for my programming skills.
Obrigado Tom. I should mention that while I do have a business relationship with Saxo, I have no economic interest in them gaining clients (like you). My relationship with them is both that they’re one of several banks we use for my firm and that I write occasional paid articles for their website.
As for their platform, I don’t use it much. We do some execution via that but I wouldn’t use it for charting, analytics etc. Most banks have pretty horrible platforms for that, even the big prime brokers.
If you have no problem with programming, I’d get RightEdge instead.
Using Saxobanks platform you’d use the trailing stop function based on the x multuple of ATR(xx) that you’re getting from another data source which you’d need to update periodically for changes in ATR.
I don’t use Saxo for thier data, just for their brokerage services, for data I use Norgate Premium.
thanks for sharing your thoughts and insights on this site an in your books!
A question regarding software platforms. I use Matlab for my models which is fine but not always the nicest way to go if you want to try some new ideas. I wonder if it could be worthwile to use a more “ready to go” platform for protoyping? I was thinking of trying Mechanica as it seems to offer some relevant features (PF Simulation, Multi-Systems). There may be other platforms offering the same, but my question is not product related. Do you think using a different platform for prototyping could make sense?
I can’t say that my MatLab skills are very good, but as far as I know MatLab is really meant to be a prototyping environment. It’s fine for production as well of course, but prototyping is supposed to be where it really shines, right?
I’ve never used Mechanica, but I absolutely balk at the price tag. I haven’t seen any explanation of why it costs so much and what makes it better than more moderately priced solutions. Their website looks like it hasn’t been maintained since 1999, which isn’t a very good sign for a software company. They charge 25 thousand bucks for a product that they absolutely fail to explain on their site. Their pitch is kind of a one liner about how they are the most powerful on the markets, with zero substance to back it up. I can’t really take that seriously.
We work primarily with RightEdge, using our own quite substantial modifications and additions to it. Standard language environment, open architecture, easy to extend… I take that over some 25k black box product any day.
thanks for the quick response!
“I take that over some 25k black box product any day.”
Bom ponto. It’s indeed amazing how little details they offer.
MatLab ist fine, especially in the derivatives space, but I don’t know if it would be my number one recommendation for trading systems, if had not had to learn it earlier on anyway. But of course you can extend the possibilties quite freely.
The features of RightEgde, especially the use of a real programming language, are fine, although their site does not look as if they were earning a lot of money. Anyway, as C# ist even more versatile and your work is speaking for itself I think I will give RightEdge a shot then.
Great blog and very useful information. I am just getting started with RightEdge but given I have a compsci background I love the fact that I can build plugins and add funtionality.
2 quick questions.
1. How are you accessing general meta data from within your strategy? Are you directly accessing your SQL database from your strategy code or are you loading this meta data into the symbol information somehow? One example would be “Point Value”. I have a lookup table in my database for each product and all the relevant data associated with it but I’m just figuring out the best way to make this available. The new SymbolSource service allows me to load symbols from my database into a Watchlist but that relies on the RightEdge Symbol class having fields for all the data I might want to load. I was therefore wondering if I could/should just load my meta data from my SQL database directly into my strategy (perhaps in the SystemBase startup?). Im sure there will be more data other than just contract details that I will want later so having this ability seems like it would be useful.
2. How are you configuring contracts such as Eurodollars. RightEdge only has contract size and tick size but if you input contract size = $1,000,000 then I would guess the PL calculations will be wrong as 1 point move should be $2500 per contract and not $1,000,000. Do you just configure RightEdge’s contract size to be the PointValue in these cases?
Apologies if these have been answered before. I have been googling around and looking at other posts and I couldn’t quite see anything.
Exactly the reason why I love RE. You can do whatever you want, as long as you’ve got a decent tech background.
MetaData: I load all the fields that RE are designed to hold, using a script of course. There’s an xml file in the user profile called something like symbolconfig. xml. You can write to this to auto add large amounts of metadata, populating from your db etc. Just be aware that RE is a bit touchy about this file, and if you make a mistake in the XML RE won’t start. So be sure to back it up… Anyhow, editing is easy if you’re familiar with XML.
Use this to populate point value, sector, industry etc. Don’t set a tick value, since that wouldn’t work well with back adjusted series. Setting tick value forces that minimum move, and with back adjusted data you might get something very different.
For other metadata, I just let the system ask the db directly. Could be market cap for a stock, dates where a stock is part of a particular index etc.
Eurodollar (and all rates markets): Use the point value, not the contract size. The two are the same for almost all markets, but not for rates. But you already know that, because what you say is absolutely right. For ED, divide by 100 and then by 4. For bond futures, divide by 100 (for most of them anyhow). Your numbers are absolutely correct, Dan, 2500 for ED etc.
Thanks for the quick response! Sounds great. For all the other data I will just setup some sort of clean way for strategies to request data directly from my SQL database.
Have you noticed that CSIData “PointValues” seem strange? I think the issue is that what we really want is what they call “Whole Point Value” (I’ve seen this in some CSI Future factsheets) but it doesn’t seem to be available as part of the download. I think I will just configure these myself. There aren’t all that many and it will just be a one off setup.
There are so many things that I will want to do both for backtesting as well as daily trade generation and keeping track of live trading systems and risk but because it seems so flexible I don’t see any reason they wont be possible with RightEdge and Visual Studio… I mean…the strategy code is clean C# with full CLR/ capabilities meaning I can pretty much do whatever the hell I like inside the strategy code…. (within reason 🙂 )
I seem to remember some oddities with how CSI label their meta data fields, but it was a long time ago. We make our own lookup tables, and just ensures that the incoming data is in the right format. (heads-up for classic dollars vs cents issue…)
The first time I set up all the symbols in RightEdge, I made an Excel spreadsheet with all data, and then a quick little VBA hack to make the necessary xml changes. For futures, it’s at least possible to do manually. Try entering a few thousand stocks with names, sectors, industry, currency etc 🙂
An interesting thing with RE is that you can use it for much more than it’s intended to. Among other things, we use it as a reporting engine, calculating analytics and pushing results into databases. The premium report on this site (which by the way is really neat and everybody should sign up to right now!) is almost completely automated with RightEdge. We make results plugins for RightEdge that really just gather relevant data, inserts into databases and generates nice looking reports.
Just FYI while were we’re talking about PointValue etc. I noticed that your PointValue for JPY CME futures in Following The Trend appears to be wrong…
As far as I know the contract is quoted in cents (ie. currently 1 yen.
0.8 USc) and the contract size is 12,500,000 unless you trade the minis/micros.
I would therefore expect the pointvalue to be for a 1 cent move (ie. from 0.8 USc to 1.8 USc) which would change the value of the contract by 12,500,000 yen.
In your table you have it as 1,250 but in units of MM JPY. That would make it a 1.2Bn Yen PointValue.
It would make sense if your your point change was a $1 change (ie. 100 cents). Maybe I’m missing something.
Also, the EUR/JPY future has a Unit of CHF in your table in the book.
P. S. I wasn’t sure if there was an errata published anywhere but couldn’t find one on Wiley website.
so I gave RE a shot! Here are my impressions from the first 12 days (ok, 4 active evenings to be honest) of evaluating the software.
What you do need to get ahead are basic programming skills in a higher language like JAVA or sth like that. Any language of this kind will do, C# is very easy to learn if you know the basics of any similar language.
If one does not know anything about coding then I think learning the language on this system is not the easiest way. If somebody does not know a lot about coding, I think it to be smarter to learn the basics of C# separately for some weeks before trying RE. This will slower you in the beginning but will be a lot more motivating to keep going.
After reading through the documentation it was quite easy to create the first simple model. I just recreated one of the simple trend following models and used the historical data of the Dow 30 Stocks. I also implemented the ATR based position sizing. These steps are very easy, and apart from looking up something in the API reference to really understand, how the system works, there are no bigger obstacles. Taking some time to review the possibilities given for adjusting the result output, I may say that after some days of serious trying one is able to test ones own ideas.
I will now install mySQL, get some real data feed and try to put it all together. Andreas, if you have any suggestion or could tell me about some possible problems, please let me know. Obrigado!
The RE website should not discourage anybody. The software is fine, the documentation is good and the flexibility is great.
Sounds about right, Nick. It matches my own experiences with it.
Frankly, the largest hurdle for most will be to get the data into the application to begin with. That’s something that they could have made so much easier.
Be sure to look into the class MySystem. It opens up for many interesting tricks. Most people only use MySymbolBase. Really horrible class names, btw…
Just wondering if you have any experience of CSI’s applications or RightEdge on Windows 8/Windows10? I am currently running Windows 7 and am, for now, ignoring Microsoft’s free Win10 upgrade as I don’t really have a need but just for future planning it would be good to know if it works…With RightEdge being CLR/ I expect it should but you can never be sure and I have no idea about CSI’s apps.
I cant find any comments anywhere so wondered what version you run/have tried. No problem if not, I can just email and ask.
I’m running both on Windows 10 without any problem.
So far, I’m very happy with Windows 10. They took out the annoying parts of Windows 8 and everything just works.
Do you know of a provider who has got adjusted data for European stocks (LSE in particular)? Norgate looks great but only covers USA & AUS.
Assuming you would like something resembling reasonable pricing, I don’t really know. I haven’t bothered researching it too much, since I don’t like trading UK stocks. The stamp duties is a huge problem, and the market in the UK has been performing horribly bad for a very long time…
If budget isn’t a problem, Bloomberg or Data Stream should be able to sort you out. That’s not exactly retail pricing territory of course.
Thanks for the comparison. Have you heard or used OpenQuant, any comments on this platform? Recently they published OpenQuant 2014, which provides much more flexibility. I’ve tried the software for several days(trial version), and it does provides all the advantages that you mentioned about RightEdge, like built-in database, portfolio level backtest, dynamic position rebalancing, self-implemented GUI dlls and data/execution providers.
I haven’t used OpenQuant, but I hear good things about it from friends in the business who use it. It seems to be a solid platform.
Of course, the price tag is a little different from RightEdge. Their lowest tier version cost about as much per month as RightEdge cost in total, and their full package will set you back about $22,000 per year. It’s unfair to compare that to the once off $500 for RightEdge.
I have demo’ed RightEdge and I quite like it but my only concern is that there doesnt seem to be to many active users of it or much new development going into it. Have you taken a look at NinjaTrader 8? It is in public beta and is much more extensible than the prior version. Take a look at the AddOn extensions which essentially allows you to leverage their low level objects to build your own mini applications within Nt8. Another platform to take a look at is Iqbroker which is in a closed beta(email them for access). It has an excellent object model for portfolio level back testing and even lets you construct portfolios of strategies. I would be interested what your thoughts are on these platforms.
I’ve looked at NinjaTrader briefly a few years ago, but I don’t have enough knowledge of it to have an intelligent opinion to share.
I also wanted to mention after reading the comment chain is that ninjascript isn’t a proprietary language. It is essentially just the base class that strategies are based on in NinjaTrader.
Big fan of Following the Trend, and I just finished Stocks on the Move. I am currently learning to program, and I’m trying to decide on system development software. I was thrilled to see your recommendation for RightEdge, because the features are ideal and the price is very affordable. I’ve heard very good things about Bob Spears and his Mechanica Software. Have you used Mechanica and have any opinions about it?
I find the pricing of Mechanica to be somewhere between insane and laughable. I don’t get how these software packages can sell at such outrageous prices. There are many similar ones in this segment, with horrible 1998 style websites and no real explanations about why they’re worth the crazy money they ask for. Same with things TradingBlox and PowerSt.
If you charge a very steep price, at least you need to be able to explain why.
A few years ago I asked the guy behind PowerSt why his software was worth something like 50 times RightEdge (per year). He listed only standard features which every serious (even free) simulation packages have and got really upset when I wasn’t convinced.
I’ll going to try RightEdge. One thing that I’ve heard that Mechanica does differently is to Automate the system and execution. I’m assuming if one is running an investment management company or fund, and uses Separately Managed Accounts for clients, the necessity to execute the strategy on each account gets inefficient eventually. Have you experienced this, or is it not a large problem in the professional management arena?
You could automate execution with RE too if you like.
I find that the industry is more or less split down the middle on automatic executions. Some automate everything, some have trading desks with execution guys. I prefer do have the execution handled manually, but I see nothing wrong with either approach.
For managed accounts you can also get the execution workload down significantly with platforms like DB Select.
I will keep in touch and update you on the journey.
Hey Andreas, hope your new years was enjoyable!
I am running through the steps for system development and backtesting. Obviously the first step in any strategy test is to get the data. I was working on a version of your momentum strategy from the book, but wanted to test a futures strategy as well. Is the data import much simpler? It seems that all I would need is the historical end of day data for my chosen universe of futures. I’m assuming CSI would be sufficient for this purpose, but I’m struggling with finding out the step from data import to the beginning of the backtest. Are there any adjustments that need to be made? Can I simply import the historical data and run the system code? Would I have to create my own database or plugin to get the CSI data into RightEdge? I know there are too many questions, but I appreciate any time and effort you spend on any advice. Agradeço antecipadamente.
The data handling (and everything else) is immensely much simpler for futures. Proper equity simulations are painful. Futures are easy.
The data from CSI is just fine. You remembered to use my discount code when you bought it, I hope? 🙂
You could just import the data without a real data adapter. That might open for a few issues that you’ll need to address though. My preference is to use a MySql database in between, which makes the data handling much easier.
Some markets may be quoted in cents, and that’s always a pain. I do automatic conversions to major currency units, feeding dollar values to RightEdge instead. Don’t forget the metadata too. You need to set up each market with the correct metadata for the simulations to work. You also need to configure currency time series, so that the fx impacts will be correctly accounted for.
You don’t have to use a database in between like I do, but in my view it makes life so much easier.
Matt, sounds like we are in about the same place with RightEdge. I’m using binary data store that ships with RE, not a MySql database (project for another day). For the CSI data adapter, I started with the example code provided by Andreas and tweaked it to convert the markets provided in cents and to correct bar data errors. CSI doesn’t seem to provide exchange rate data (am I wrong?) so I found another source for that and was able to use import data tool under tools tab to suck it all into RE. Had to set up symbols and metadata manually (a real pain!). I believe Andreas said there is a way to populate metadata automatically with a. xml file but that is beyond my programming skills at the moment. As for backtesting, I started with replicating the trendfollowing strategies from chapter 4 of Andreas’ book. Por enquanto, tudo bem. Good luck, Matt! If Andreas doesn’t mind, happy to share experiences and questions on this board since the Rightedge forum is pretty dead. Greg B.
Feel free to share what you like here, Greg.
I was, and still am, planning to make a proper discussion site. I had a brand new vBulletin forum set up on this site recently, but during testing it got overrun by spammers and hacked several times, and I don’t have time to deal with that… Perhaps I should revive the old Tradersplace site again, but in a less complex implementation this time around. I took that site down for the same reason, that it was taking far too much time just to keep the hackers and spammers at bay.
I believe you can get exchange rates from CSI, but I haven’t done that myself. I’m pretty sure someone recently told me that works though. Else just get it from Yahoo Finance or Quandl.
Populating metadata isn’t that difficult really. I’ll write up a post for the premium section on how to set up an Excel sheet that automates these metadata xml files. And I’m not mistaken, you’ve already got access to those articles, Greg. 🙂
Btw, the model from my first book is in the premium section of the research library. You can download the full source code there and compare with yours, Greg. Of course, keep in mind that the model for that book was never meant to be some sort of optimal system, just a demo model to show how trend following works. It’s an ok model, but not a great model, and easy to improve.
Do you have the code that you use to rank all stocks in the book ‘Stocks on the move’ shared somewhere on the site? or could you share it here or by email to download it and have a trial with RightEdge to see how it all works?
Or if it’s a code that could be used in a different software, that would help as well as most platforms offer a few days of trial where we could try things.
My current code makes use of my local environment, making direct database calls etc, so it wouldn’t be of too much use to others.
But I’m planning to fix that soon. I’ve been working with Norgate Data to help them make a RightEdge plugin that solved the issues that I used direct database calls for. Their plugin looks very good so far, though there are a couple of bugs to sort out before it’s released.
Once this plugin is released, I’ll publish source code for the momentum model in the book.
Thanks for the how-to articles in premium section. I guess a couple more such articles and you’ll have only a fraction of your subscribers left, as the whole trading game turns out to be very complex and not something magical like Forex ads promise)
I have a suggestion if you don’t mind. Apparently the stock market environment is really volatile at the moment, and the Momentum strategy is moving to cash. You have mentioned in your book that being in cash means allocating funds to money instruments. Would be great if you provided more info on this topic.
Thanks, Vitaly! Yes, that could make sense for an article.
Bring back PTSD style flashbacks from 2008… There was a time when we were analyzing banks daily, moving cash in the late afternoon into whatever bank had the best chance of surviving the next 24 hours. It’s hard to imagine now just how bad the situation was back then.
I should mention of course that most countries have some sort of depositor guarantee, and if someone has a lower amount of cash than their local limit, the cash is guaranteed by their government. So this is an issue that affects professional money managers and HNWIs.
Hi Andreas, do you have any recommendations for software that keeps track of trades/performance/statistics of a live trend following system? RightEdge is great for backtesting but not sure it can be used to track live system(s) without some very heavy customization. Excel could work too, but again, lots of unnecessary work if there is a ready-made product out there. Thanks for your thoughts.
Yes, I should write something about that soon. A proper market data system can be very important and tracking portfolios is just one of many things they can do for you.
It’s essentially a rebranded Reuters Eikon, normally sold for about 2k/month. This rebranded version is sold for around 100/m but only non-professionals are allowed to buy it. It has a great market data application as well as the best financial Excel addin in the market.
Hello Mr. Clenow:
I just purchased your book Stocks on the Move and would like to try using your system. I have a MAC computer, but neither RightEdge nor WealthLab run on a Mac.
1. Can you recommend a Mac-friendly trading software package or website that I can use to SCAN for stocks with high Adjusted Slope (cf Table 7-1 Top Stocks Ranking) in both the US and the Canadian markets?
2. Can you recommend a Mac-friendly system that I could use to do BACKTESTING?
Andreas has created a subscription service that performs all the number crunching for you and provides all the rankings.
If there is an alternative application for Apple, I’m not aware of it. It might be difficult to find financial software for Apple environments, since the industry runs off Windows on the front end side.
I suppose you could dual boot into Windows, if that’s a viable solution. Or, as Ed kindly suggests, subscribe to this site and get the data there. I only cover US markets though.
Thank you for your replies, Ed and Andreas. Your S&P-500 subscription service is very appealing and I may start using it. I am looking at both the US and Canadian markets, however, and at the stock of companies smaller than those in the S&P-500.
I have been inspired by your book “Stocks on the Move”, and also by Antonacci’s book “Dual Momentum”, and the idea that a stock tends to do better if its Sector is going up.
I am developing an evaluation system that takes Price slope and Smoothness into account (Clenow), along with Earnings growth and Revenue growth (Antonacci) as well as Sector strength.
I now have a basic technique with rules but a lot of manual work is involved, and I would really like to automate it. If I could also do do some backtesting, that would be a great bonus!
Any comments on the above would be most welcome! (I could send you more details if you wish.)
PS: I may try to run RightEdge on my Mac with a Windows emulator or some-such, or purchase a PC.
Ken / Andreas – I had exactly the same problem in trying to automate the strategy in an Apple environment. In the end, I coded it up in Java (I’m a professional software engineer) and developed a web front end for visualisation.
Essentially I wrote everything from scratch in Java, getting historical data, cleaning the data, ranking the stocks, applying position sizing, applying buy and sell rules, applying slippage and commissions, tracking stock and portfolio PnL, equity, etc.
I essentially wrote my own backtesting engine. I’m running it against UK stocks and backtesting a UK stock portfolio from Jan 2006 to May 2016 I get 18% CAGR and 16% Annualised Vol.
I’m going to expand it so it covers multiple stock exchanges (US, EU, UK, SG, etc) and supports multi-currency portfolios. I’m also looking at implementing interfaces to my broker so I can automate the trades.
Happy to share any details if anyone is interested.
If what you developed is a self-contained backtesting engine, I would be very interested. How can we get in touch?
Ed – For now the backtesting engine is used primarily for equity momentum strategies. However, there is no reason why it can’t be modified to accept other types of strategies. The core architecture has been designed so that it can handle large amounts of data concurrently, that we otherwise be too large to fit into memory. In fact my next project is to backtest mean-reversion strategies aka ‘pairs trading’. I will be setting up a blog very soon to demonstrate it. You can contact me via LinkedIn – uk. linkedin/in/ravi-cheema-1bbb60.
Awesome article, thanks so much.
I’ve been (discretionary) trading for many years – now looking to get serious with modelling and back-testing, etc.
I’m going to learn to code, so I think it makes perfect sense to choose a platform that uses ‘real’ code and not waste time and energy on the wrong platform (just because it may be easier to begin with).
So, it’s early stages but given the top 10 products that are out there at the moment, I’m thinking that Quantopian and QuantConnect seem to be the ‘new breed’ that offer everything that, say an RE does, and more?
From what you know of them, would you imagine much downside in going this way? What would RE have that these don’t? A better reporting environment perhaps? Can I run “scans” as well as “back-tests” in these applications? (I would like to replace my scanning software with a single platform that can scan and back-test if possible?).
Quais são seus pensamentos?
The online environments are certainly improving, but they are in a very different category than RE.
I looked into Quantopian in detail before going to speak at their conference in NYC a few months ago. They have done a remarkable job, I’ll give them that. The integrated data access alone is worth a lot, as is the cloud based calculation engine. It’s a great environment if you’re just starting out or if you have no desire to do anything customized.
In terms of openness and flexibility though, there’s no way any online environment can compete with RE. It’s just not a fair comparison.
With the online solutions, you only get exactly what they give you. Nothing can be added or changed. So in this case, you get only US equity data and only from 2003. No futures, no currencies, no custom continuations, no spread series etc.. You get only the system results analytics that are built in and you cannot do creative things. The first thing I built for RE was a historical portfolio allocation and attribution analysis plugin.
And what if you want to output your data? Say you want to run a complex portfolio model in a bunch of different iterations, spit out the daily equity curve and differences in portfolio allocation to a local database or a text file for further analysis? Possibilities are limitless in an open environment.
RightEdge is an open API while Quantopian and Quantconnect are closed websites. They are very good closed websites, but that’s still what they are. That’s great for a lot of people, if you don’t want to do much coding, if you don’t need any flexibility, if you need exactly what they provide for you, if you can’t afford a local setup etc.
Yes, Quantopian is a great platform but they can never play in the same league as RightEdge. That’s not what they’re trying to do and that’s not the technology choices that they have made. They’re going for a different audience.
Thanks very much for that Andreas, that has helped a lot.
Next I need to consider the choice (and trade-offs) between ‘easy language’ applications (particularly interested in Amibroker) and a package that requires a ‘real’ language. I’ve got a huge preference for jumping in and learning C# or Python due to the longer-term benefits, but I’m also mindful that it might take me a lot longer to generate something productive and useful.
I’m wondering how much I will need to ‘re-learn’ if I start with Amibroker and run with that for say, a year, and then move over to a RE later on, and whether that would ultimately be less productive. I know that’s probably impossible to answer. Let me ask this:
What other packages such as RE are out there that utilise C# or Python? Do you feel RE is the “easiest”?
Can I use RE to conduct basic stock market scans? Is that fairly straight-forward? This would be the perfect entry for me, as I could use it to replace my scanning software, and get into back-testing and then strategy construction from there.
Thanks so much once again,
I haven’t used AmiBroker, so I can’t help you there. I hear it’s pretty good. For a proprietary scripting platform. 🙂
There are a few other platforms using CLR, but I haven’t gone into real depth with them. NinjaTrader and MultiCharts, I believe.
Using RE to scan stuff is easy. No, it’s not a built in features, but I wouldn’t want it to be. You want to output something? Just write a few lines of code. Just build a normal system run, calculate what you need calculated and output it. You want it displayed in the application? Fine, make a little plugin to show your stuff after a system run. Fácil.
Thanks again Adreas,
Really enjoyed your interview on Top Traders Unplugged by the way.
I’ll have a good look at Multicharts and compare it against RightEdge.
It’ll interesting to see your opinions on Mulitcharts. I’ve heard less than a stellar opinion from a systematic portfolio speculator. Individual instruments tested fine, but portfolio didn’t, compared to WealthLab. This was a few years back, though.
Chapter 2 – The Profitability of High-Frequency Trading : Is It for Real?
The literature on high-frequency trading (HFT) and discussions on the desirability or otherwise of regulating the practice are typically based on misconceptions and confusion as well as faulty reasoning. One argument against HFT is that it is a license to print money that is owned by a minority of market participants. We argue that there is no reason why HFT is particularly profitable and that the shortness of the holding period is not necessarily conducive to the generation of super profit. We examine the relation between the holding period and profitability by calculating the profit generated from carry trade operations in the foreign exchange market with a wide range of holding periods. In this analysis, we avoid the confusion between high-frequency trading and automated trading and define HFT only in terms of the holding period and the frequency of trading.
Carry trade ; FOREX ; Negociação de alta frequência; Holding period ; Moving average rule ; Rentabilidade.
Direitos autorais & copy; 2015 Elsevier Inc. Todos os direitos reservados.
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